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Anyone else concerned that the horse is small? In such a big field with the National fences to overcome, with stamina doubts (in my view) I could have him at all at that price.
Agree 100% that the bookies are more then happy to lay a lot of money for it as they want to get it beat – and they are talking it up in private to say that it is value and it will get lower – when in reality, they are licking their lips that a horse with so many questions to answer is 5/1. Should be a 10/1 the field race in my book and would not be surprised to see another big priced winner.
Anyone else concerned that the horse is small? In such a big field with the National fences to overcome, with stamina doubts (in my view) I could have him at all at that price.
Agree 100% that the bookies are more then happy to lay a lot of money for it as they want to get it beat – and they are talking it up in private to say that it is value and it will get lower – when in reality, they are licking their lips that a horse with so many questions to answer is 5/1. Should be a 10/1 the field race in my book and would not be surprised to see another big priced winner.
Stamina is an unknown, but that is true of a lot of recent winners, as its the only 4m4f race and plenty have won it at their 1st try. I’m also not bothered about whether he’s run there before, again plenty have won without ever racing over the fences before, while others have run well, then not done so again. His size is alos not an issue for me, look at Gwanako yesterday and Amberleigh House was alos pretty small. As I said yesterday, I expect him to be got at in the ring and to go off about 7/1 which isn’t an unreasonable price when you look at recent favourites.
One thing that does annoy me is when bookies report that if a horse wins a race like the National or the Derby it will cost us millions, when what they mean is our winning margin will be about 60% rather than 75%. Yes it might be their worst result, but they will still be making well over £100m
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