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Surely with Apples Jade likely to go for the Champion Hurdle and Benie Des Dieux not having run since Punchestown in April then this race goes from being an almost non event to being very interesting indeed!!
Even third favourite Laurina is maybe going Champion Hurdle too and even Limini has disappointed this season!!
LOL that rules out the first four in the betting !!
The two I fancy are MIA’S STORM at 25/1 and ROKSANA at 16/1
MIA’S STORM failed as a chaser even though she beat the great Elegant escape in a novice Chase Since going back over hurdles she has won very easily and then made hard work of her second win and if her jumping holds up she will go close in this and I think Cheltenham pace will suit her.
ROKSANA was last seen running behind BDA which was no disgrace and before that ran second to Santini after winning the Mares hurdle final at Newbury and the trip will suit and she is a strong traveller too!!
I did have a look to make sure this race hadn’t yet been covered and hope I haven’t missed the thread!!
Good Luck Guys
Benie Des Dieux not racing since Punchestown is not a problem at all. Mullins raps his good Mares in cotton whool. Annie Power rarely had more thna 1 run before going to the festival; Quvega usually debuted at the festival. Laurina is going to a Champion Hurdle with just 1 run under her belt. I expect Benie to get a prep urn into her soon and then hack up here with Apples and Laurina in the Champion Hurdle.
BDDs form is not great (forget AJ last spring) and she’s not raced on GS ground yet, she’s definitely one to be taking on.
Roksana looks a good each way bet as you say Raymo, unexposed and that form behind Santini looks good. 16s more than fair.
I’m on Benie at 3s, as she does seeem to be the Mullin’s main runner in this as long as Laurina isn’t drafted in. The lack of a run wouldn’t worry me at all- her runs of extended absences have been very good albeit vs lesser mares.
I backed her to get her in the book as she was a likely shortener given the AJ news. However, i wouldn’t wildly fancy her either. I’d say her Punchestown win is actually better form than her Cheltenham win- Clearly on both occasions we haven’t seen the real AJ, but Augusta Kate is capable of running a decent number in comparison to Midnight Tour.
I would probably still stick with a Mullin’s mare if i am to take him on- Elimay. On the form she has a good bit to find with Stormy Ireland + GTT but i think she is likely to show it. I don’t think Stormy Ireland will show her best over 2m4 at Cheltenham, and GTT is relatively exposed. Elimay has good FR form and is only 5. She would have a bit to find with SI on a run over there- but i am happy enough to chance that e/w
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Kev on what basis is BDD form not great? She won her first two chase starts by as far as she liked, and her third chase start she comfortably beat a highly rated field. She then went and won the mares hurdle in her first hurdle start since 2015 and then followed up at Punchestown by winning probably one of the highest standard mares race ever to be run.
BDD beat Midnight Tour half a length in the mares. MT on her start prior to the mares got beat by Woolstone One, who was a mile down the field at Fairyhouse on her next start behind some 135ish mares. Closest MT got to a win all season was in the mares also, it’s the exception to her seasons form so not one to hold your hat on.
Fair enough Augusta Kate was a decent horse back in the day but her form last season was far from good. AJ was third again whilst in season and potentially having another issue.
Personally i see her as a stayer, hence enjoying the middle distances on soft ground. On better ground this season (touchwood) she’s one to take on.
Yeah i know but only holds one entry at the fes so far and was entered up in a hurdles race the other week, plus gordons would usually “be entered up in everything” as he would say, apples jade going CH he doesnt really have a runner, wouldnt surprise me if this is just a prep, a very unusual one tbf considering her layoff, but felt that was a good enough price considering, every poss she will be staying over fences though and im totally wrong, but ill take chance
Although it is off putting that shes 40/1 with betfair and 20-25/1 everywhere else, considering gordons a “betfair ambassador”
Is Gary Nutting a member of this forum cos it looks like a day after I posted this he said the same thing about Mia’s Storm on the ATR website ??
If melon had been performing or close to performing tonlst years level jjm id be inclined to agree with you, but he isnt and willie will want a live chance which melon seemingly doesnt have
If for some reason BDD got injured shes likely come here but inhighly doubt both benie and laurina would come here fit, whats the point?
I agree Ham, it is a real concern that Sportsbook are stand out here, but I’ve been suckered in anyway, and it looks like a good spot from you, so 25-1 for me
I have just been and backed both of mine again at 25/1 and 16/1 and also backed Mia’s at 32 on the machine!!
I am convinced that four of the first six in the betting won’t turn up here and the prices are going to go haywire
Just backed Roksana myself Raymo at 16s NRNB.
Skelton released news that she’s coming here and that she’s going to improve a good bit for the step up in trip and fitness.
Does anyone know if Harry Fry plans on running Momella here or the Stayers? I see she is declared for both.
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