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Northumberland Plate 2025

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  • #1733537
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15972

    Entries………

    https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/1353/newcastle-aw/2025-06-28/894232

    https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/flat/northumberland-plate/winner

    Had a punt here on Midnight Lion. Had been running ok here in a busy winter, but looks to have been given a proper break. Was a promising youngster, but lost his way for a bit, before Jim Goldie appeared to get his spark back. Unfortunately, he looks to have his work cut out to scrape in, but you never know

    Stablemates Faylaq and Humble Spark also of interest, but they hold other entries, and equally interesting are potential Irish Raiders, Sonnyboyliston, and Tribal Star

    Midnight Lion 66’s EW

    #1733558
    Avatar photoHe Didnt Like Ground
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7867

    After yesterday if he turned up then Allign the Stars , however Ethical Diamond of Mullins really does catch the eye , may have to tickle that

    #1734514
    Avatar photoWilts
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2942

    Zanndabad 16/1
    :good:

    #1734521
    Avatar photoBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 14302

    I thought Dancing In Paris rode a really good race last time
    out at Goodwood. He didn’t get the run he wanted, but still
    finished better than anything else. He went up 2 lbs for that
    run which is fair and would certainly get him in if Williams
    wants him to run.

    Dancing In Paris 40/1 E/W 4 places

    #1734642
    Avatar photoBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 14302

    Phew :whistle: For a minute I thought my 50 quid was down the drain,
    I couldn’t find Dancing In Paris anywhere near the 40/1 mark and was a
    bit astounded it is down to best priced 16/1. It’s obviously not my bet
    so hopefully the stable or someone in the know has a fair fancy for it.

    #1734647
    Avatar photoWilts
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2942

    BigG

    Tipped up by Matt Brocklebank, Sporting Life, early this afters.
    Prob explains the price collapse.

    #1734651
    Avatar photoBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 14302

    Thanks Wilts, I hope he’s got it right

    Good luck with Zanndabad, down as low as 10/1 in
    a place. I’d settle for us both getting a place
    along with Bobbies massive 66/1 shot :good:

    later note – Did I actually say “Bobbies” I can’t
    believe that…..apologies Bobby. :unsure:

    #1734652
    Avatar photoBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 14302

    Wilts, just read Matt Brocklebank’s summing up of the Northumberland
    Plate, I can imagine quite a few jumping on at big odds. He makes a
    good case for Dancing in Paris. Thankfully I did my sums the day before
    him :mail:

    #1734656
    Avatar photoWilts
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2942

    :good:
    Final decs tomorrow.
    Best of luck to all.

    EDIT: BigG – Jack Haynes, Racing Post, also tipped Dancing In Paris today.

    #1734664
    Avatar photoBigG
    Participant
    • Total Posts 14302

    Prydwin is a non runner, which makes Dancing In Paris the 20th
    entry. Now this doesn’t mean he’s going to run, but at least he
    has the chance if he wants to, and let’s face it, Ian Williams
    doesn’t want to bump into me at Newcastle if he doesn’t. Pneumonia
    or not.

    #1734685
    sergeantcecil
    Participant
    • Total Posts 539

    Followed BigG with Dancing in Paris after I read the posting and watched his last race, ran well. Only a small ew but got 36.75 (with Hills boost) and see it’s only 12s today.

    #1734689
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9224

    Tribal Star 20-1 ew 6 places. His run on the track in the 90k all weather championship reads alright and he got hampered as well apparently so thought I’d have a pop at one of the bigger priced ones.

    #1734693
    sergeantcecil
    Participant
    • Total Posts 539

    Please can someone explain what the “inappropriate content” is in my post at 12.47 today?

    #1734697
    Oscar
    Participant
    • Total Posts 357

    I’m guessing it’s the suspicion of aftertiming, sc, since the price you claimed had long gone.
    If you don’t post your bet details immediately you’ll always run this danger. In similar situations I usually say something like ‘ I followed in on your excellent bet and got a decent price’. There are (often rightly) some battle hardened cynics out there!
    (Actually, I *did* follow in on BigG’s excellent advice and got a decent price!)

    #1734700
    sergeantcecil
    Participant
    • Total Posts 539

    Thanks Oscar, I’ll bear that in mind in future. If I knew how to screenshot I’d have done that :-)

    #1734704
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15972

    With Midnight Lion balloted out, I’ve went with stablemate Faylaq. I don’t think he’s quite up to this, and is fairly exposed, but conversely, I think he’s too big at 28’s, having missed the 33’s

    Torn between two Irish raiders as backup. Tribal Star made the early shortlist, and Zanndabad’s a notebook horse I’ve bet a few times. Preference for Tribal Star just now, but I’ll leave that decision just now

    Faylaq 25’s EW6Pls/28’s

    #1734758
    Avatar photorobnorth
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8253

    I’ve never fathomed Ian Williams, but Dancing In Paris 12/1 e/w 1/5 5pl has been progressive since stepped up in trip and looks primed for this.

    Asgard’s Captain 22/1 e/w 1/5 5pl steps up significantly in trip. Maybe many will ignore him because of this but while we don’t know if he’ll stay we can’t say he won’t, he’s well weighted on balance of form and has a decent 8 from 31 overall record with a steadily progressive pattern.

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