No Hopers

[RexWayne]

My portfolio of systems from which most of my bets are obtained tend to pick horses at the shorter, or at best, mid end of the market. I have identified an idea overnight that will select horses at the higher end of the market to pick those horses that might place or even win at longer prices. I have no background data on this new system. I am going to call the system “No Hopersâ€ÂÂ

[RexWayne]

Today’s results

220 Sandown Hatton 50/1 <br>3rd 50/1  :)

355 Wolverhampton Ruby Sunrise 33/1 <br>8th 50/1

425 Wolverhampton Allstar Princess 25/1 <br>9th 66/1

435 Sandown Bertrose 20/1 <br>7th 20/1

LSP for the day = 3.00 <br>Cum LSP = 3.00

Rex

[Systemite]

A novel idea Rex. Best wishes for deserved success.<br>Terry.

[RexWayne]

Thanks Terry.

Selections for Saturday 23 April

200 Leicester Sometimes Lucky 33/1<br>230 Leicester Taranaki 20/1

315 Sandown Joint Authority 200/1

345 Sandown African Sahara 200/1

430 Ripon George The Best 25/1

430 Ripon Kensington 25/1

745 Haydock La Muette 50/1<br>Rex

[RexWayne]

Results for Saturday 23 April

Well – they all ran as their prices suggested they would (ie, badly) with the exception of Sometimes Lucky who was squeezed when up with the leaders with a furlong to go and dropped out.

200 Leicester Sometimes Lucky 33/1<br>8th 100/1

230 Leicester Taranaki 20/1<br>8th 20/1

315 Sandown Joint Authority 200/1<br>PU 200/1

345 Sandown African Sahara 200/1<br>7th 100/1

430 Ripon George The Best 25/1<br>11th 20/1

430 Ripon Kensington 25/1<br>14th 33/1

<br>745 Haydock La Muette 50/1<br>8th 33/1

LSP for the day = (14.00)<br>Points for the day = (28.00)<br>Cum LSP = (11.00) <br>Cum Points = (22.00)<br>Bank = 178.00

Rex

[RexWayne]

Selections for Sunday 24 April

210 Brighton Starboard Light 20/1<br>320 Brighton Dance On The Top 20/1<br>430 Brighton Seramanna 20/1<br>505 Brighton Entertain 25/1<br>535 Brighton Fly More 33/1

Rex<br>

[snowman]

Hi Rex,

Interesting approach – good luck with it.

The points analysis I understand mate – 4pts per bet, but what is LSP? I’ve always used this abbreviation for Level Stakes Profit & I just cant think what it may be.

I thought at first it may be Level Stakes Place, which would be 2pts per bet, but on the first day you have an LSP of 3.00 & Level Stakes Place would have been much better than this, with your 50/1 3rd returning 22pts for an outlay of 8pts (place only).

I’ve no doubt it’s something obvious & I will feel like a right donkey when I know :biggrin: , but enlighten me mate before it drives me to drink!

Ooops too late! :biggrin: :cool:

[RexWayne]

Snowman – Thanks for the support and comments.

I can understand the confusion. I use LSP for Level Stakes Profit too.

I initially said I would bet 2 points EW on each selection from a starting bank of 200 points. I chose 200 not 100 (and 1 point EW) because this fit easily into Betfair’s minimum stake requirements should I actually decide to back them.

As the bet is always going to be 2 points EW, one can say that the unit bet is always the same and therefore you can easily show the Level Stakes Profit accordingly.

However the effect on the bank and the actual points won, or more accurately lost, is double.  

That is why I show both LSP and points profit/loss.

Thus, as all horse didn’t even place on Saturday the LSP loss was 14 and the points loss 28.

It is probably going to be academic anyway because the bank might not survive into May let alone June. :(

Rex

[RexWayne]

Results for Sunday 24 April

Well they all ran like dogs except<br>Dance On Top who ended up well backed from<br>20/1 into 6/1. Will the bank even make it into May, let alone June

210 Brighton Starboard Light 20/1 <br>10th 33/1

320 Brighton Dance On The Top 20/1 <br>2nd 6/1

430 Brighton Seramanna 20/1

505 Brighton Entertain 25/1 <br>10th 6/1

535 Brighton Fly More 33/1 <br>14th 33/1

LSP for the day = (7.50) <br>Points for the day = (15.00) <br>Cum LSP = (18.50) <br>Cum Points = (37.00) <br>Bank = 163.00

Rex<br>

[RexWayne]

Selections for Monday 25 April

220 Hamilton Wroot Danielle 40/1

420 Hamilton Dimple Chad 50/1

Rex

[RexWayne]

66/1 winner – get in  :biggrin:

[lcool]

Well done, read your post but did not<br>have any money on.<br>:(

[RexWayne]

lcool – thanks

Results for Monday 25 April

220 Hamilton Wroot Danielle 40/1 <br>W 66/1 :biggrin:

420 Hamilton Dimple Chad 50/1 <br>6th 50/1 :(  looked good for 10 furlongs though

LSP for the day = 80.50<br>Points for the day = 161.00<br>Cum LSP = 62.00 <br>Cum Points = 124.00 <br>Bank = 324.00

Rex

<br>Rex<br>

[Systemite]

Absolutely brilliant Rex. What more can I say.<br>Terry.

[RexWayne]

EC thanks for the pat on the back here and at the other place.

A month or so ago there was an effort to get people to have a look  Matron’s ward but they have all got better and checked out. :cheesy:

Today’s donkeys are:

235 Bath Only For Gold 25/1<br>435 Bath Lady Filly 33/1

I also fancy St Etienne in this race but it has been tipped up elsewhere and is now below 20/1 (waaay to short for me :cool: )

Rex

[RexWayne]

Terry thanks for you post.

Results for Tuesday  26 April

235 Bath Only For Gold 25/1<br>7th 33/1<br> <br>435 Bath Lady Filly 33/1<br>8th 33/1

LSP for the day = (4.00) <br>Points for the day = (8.00) <br>Cum LSP = 58.00 <br>Cum Points = 116.00 <br>Bank = 316.00

Rex

[RexWayne]

Selections for Wednesday 27 April that might run well.

310 Lingfield Dandoun 33/1<br>440 Lingfield Supreme Salutation 25/1

Rex

[Author]

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