December 7, 2018 at 13:47 #1388326
Opening this simply to say that One For Arthur is a daft price at 8/1 (Betfair Paddy Power) and will be half that or shorter at the off. Should be taken without hesitation as his chance far outweighs those odds imo
Never argue with a fool. He will drag you down to his level and beat you with experience, then onlookers might not be able to tell the difference. https://lazybet.com/December 7, 2018 at 16:36 #1388337
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I think the opposite Joe, a terrible betting proposition. He’s been off for 18 months or so which is a definite concern, and more importantly, both Double Shuffle and Definitely Red are better horsesDecember 7, 2018 at 16:44 #1388340
I think he had plenty potential to be better than both of those before his injury. He’s reported in excellent heart and I think a Grade 2 entry is significant.
Anyway, we’ll find out tomorrow. If he goes off at 8s or longer, I’ll show my ass at midnight mass :)
Never argue with a fool. He will drag you down to his level and beat you with experience, then onlookers might not be able to tell the difference. https://lazybet.com/December 7, 2018 at 17:06 #1388346
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Very disappointing turnout, a sad staple in Saturday races. Good to see One For Arthur back and while he might not be up to Definitely Red’s class; he’s getting 8lbs and a true test of stamina will only end one way.December 7, 2018 at 19:23 #1388366
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A terrible turn out and I have to be in the disagree with Joe camp!! LOL Sorry Joe but 4/6 and 11/4 in a two horse race is great betting!!
AC/DC can’t win and OFA won’t win. Unlike me I know but the front two will finish one two unless one of them falls!!December 7, 2018 at 19:48 #1388374
Just blogged . . .
I’m astounded 8/1 is still available this evening as I write and I urge those who are undecided to take it.
The cash today has been for Definitly Red, a fine and consistent animal. But his schtick is out-jumping and outstaying the opposition, particularly in small fields like this.
That strategy might work against the likes of Black Corton and Cloudy Dream but he is not going to outstay One For Arthur. Nor will he outjump him (touch wood). I’m not saying he won’t be fitter than the 2017 National winner, but, all things being equal, Definitly Red’s jock will not be able to rely on what are arguably the strongest weapons in his armoury.
One For Arthur’s chasing career has been one of steady progress. His last season racing (2016/17) saw him win three of his four races. His sole defeat was in the 2016 Becher where he was beaten 3L by Vieux Lion Rouge finishing strongly after his rider detected a slight breathing problem.
Jockey Derek Fox (off injured at the moment – replaced on Saturday by Tom Scudamore) advised the fitting of a tongue tie to help with breathing, and it seemed to work wonderfully well when One For Arthur won the Betfred Classic Handicap Chase a month later at Warwick.
Badly hampered at the 2nd that day, he did what many horses fail to do, come from a long way back at Warwick in soft ground over 3m 5f. And he did it in the style of a fast improving horse. He impressed me greatly that day.
The unusual manner of his Warwick victory was mirrored in his Randox Health Grand National win three months later. He came from a long way back again at Aintree, Fox retaining the cool demeanour that can come from riding a horse travelling supremely well.
About 12th or 13th three out, by the time they swung in to face the 2nd last, One For Arthur loomed up on the outside going sweetly, took it up at the last and galloped on strongly.
The National, even this softer version, can finish horses. One For Arthur was the first one I can remember watching go up that run-in where I thought he had a fair bit more improvement in him.
Sadly, he did not get a chance to prove that in the following season. He suffered a tendon injury (it slipped off his hock) and was immediately declared out for the season.
But he’s back now and I’m very hopeful he can show he still has more to come. Trainer Lucinda Russell reports him in fine health and working well. She expects him to be ‘a bit rusty’ in this, his first race back, but that’s hardly unusual.
I don’t fear Double Shuffle or ACDC and I think Definitly Red will have a real battle trying to give away 6lbs to One For Arthur. The ground is going more One For Arthur’s way than Definitly Red’s. The latter has won on heavy but his trainer has said the horse is at his best on good ground. It’s soft at Aintree as I write, with more rain due overnight.
It’s a fine card all in all at Aintree. Here’s to a great day’s racing.
Never argue with a fool. He will drag you down to his level and beat you with experience, then onlookers might not be able to tell the difference. https://lazybet.com/December 8, 2018 at 05:44 #1388426
- Total Posts 2538
As I said to you on Twitter, OFA was on an upward curb before Warwick and then of course that famous win for us at Aintree.
As a staying chaser, there appeared to be more left in the tank. If he’s fully fit, there seemed enough improvement left in him for him to feasibly win this race.
One For Arthur @ 8/1December 10, 2018 at 12:44 #1388755
- Total Posts 144
Well, that early fall would have totally messed up connnections’ plans for OFA. What will they do with him now? Is he entered up for anything else shortly?December 10, 2018 at 13:14 #1388756
- Total Posts 1150
He made the exact same mistake at the second last when he won the National. The only difference this time being there was no Blaklion to prop him up.December 10, 2018 at 13:27 #1388758
I thought One For Arthur looked superb on Saturday – the best looking in the field. To say it was a sore disappointment to see him unseat is a vast understatement.
On looks, he appears to have come on quite a bit as an individual. He reportedly goes for the Rowland Meyrick on Boxing Day where I expect him to show that he’s more than capable of winning a good graded race.
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