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Lays

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  • #4858
    aaronizneez
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1698

    Not sure which part of the forum this should be on so I’ll start here. I have been doing a little research over the last six weeks with regards to increasing my chances of winning a placepot or two. Whilst doing this it has thrown up certain trends. Since the beginning of August it has thrown up 16 races to lay the favourite of which 14 have lost and of those 14, 9 have been unplaced which is not a bad strike rate. Odds have ranged from 5/6 to 9/2. The two failures(winning favs) were 9/4 & 7/4. Both odds on favourites were also unplaced so maybe an opportunity to lay those at a place for less risk ? The only slight problem is that at the moment I am basing it on unnamed favourites so unless there is a clear favourite its sometimes a tad tricky to ascertain what the favourite will be. Unusually there are six qualifiers today which I have listed below. I have done this because you can bet once you put in print your selections, the system will go tits up :)

    200 Brighton
    430 Brighton
    215 Newton Abbot
    415 Newton Abbot
    745 Nottingham
    830 Musselburgh

    #111359
    non vintage
    Member
    • Total Posts 1268

    Good luck aaron – nice start and some reasonable research stats to back it up. Might be a system to follow – keep us updated…

    #111391
    aaronizneez
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1698

    Todays races to lay the favourite

    Yarmouth 450
    Salisbury 500
    Hamilton 800
    Hamilton 830

    #111459
    aaronizneez
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1698

    Todays races to lay the favourite

    Beverley 210
    Chepstow 650
    Chepstow 820
    Folkestone 630
    Sandown 400
    Sandown 510

    Current success rate –
    Laying to win 20/26 – 77%,
    Laying to a place 12/26 – 46%

    #111568
    aaronizneez
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1698

    What a disaster yesterday was :( . 6 lays and they all won. Maybe thats the angle I should be looking at !

    Todays favourites to lay

    445 Doncaster
    420 Newbury
    505 Newcastle
    745 Catterick
    805 Newmarket

    Current success rate –
    Laying to win 20/32 – 62.5%,
    Laying to a place 12/32 – 37.5%

    #111804
    aaronizneez
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1698

    Todays favourites to lay

    400 Leicester
    430 Leicester
    345 Wolverhampton
    530 Windsor

    Current success rate –
    Laying to win 23/37 – 62.16%,
    Laying to a place 14/37 – 37.84%

    #111956
    aaronizneez
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1698

    Todays favourites to lay

    425 York
    545 Perth
    750 Perth
    820 Perth

    Current success rate –
    Laying to win 26/41 – 63.41%,
    Laying to a place 15/41 – 36.59%

    #112125
    aaronizneez
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1698

    Todays favourites to lay

    350 York
    705 N Abbot
    720 Folkestone

    Current success rate –
    Laying to win 29/45 – 64.44%,
    Laying to a place 15/45 – 33.33%

    #112264
    aaronizneez
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1698

    Todays favourites to lay

    135 York
    400 Stratford
    525 Fontwell
    625 Fontwell
    540 Chester

    Current success rate –
    Laying to win 30/48 – 62.50%,
    Laying to a place 16/48 – 33.33%

    #112388
    aaronizneez
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1698

    Todays favourites to lay

    500 Newmarket
    755 Bath
    535 Newcastle
    805 Newcastle

    Current success rate –
    Laying to win 33/53 – 62.26%,
    Laying to a place 18/53 – 33.96%

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