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Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 31 total)
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  • #68815
    davidjohnson
    Member
    • Total Posts 4491

    Because it has no basis of logic or reasoning behind it. For every jockey that rides a winner on his birthday there will be at least four that don’t.

    I might be able to come up with a system that shows that on Wednesday’s when the sun shines, McCoy shows a strike rate of 27%. It may be true or it may not be but whilst such facts are based on coincidence there is no way such a theory can lead to long term profitability.

    As has been said on a different thread, it is a bout the process and only when that is correct will you make this game pay. Remember even a broken clock gets the time right twice a day.

    #68816
    schumi
    Member
    • Total Posts 166

    Quote: from Grimes on 11:42 pm on Jan. 31, 2006[br]I’ve just found this, schumi:

    http://www.britishhorseracing.com/goracing<br>thanks Grimes that’s a great help

    I’ve been wanting the birthdays of racehorse connections for a while.

    If you despise any information that can find you winners, David… how can I put this politely… your’e in the wrong game.

    <br>

    #68817
    schumi
    Member
    • Total Posts 166

    i’d be more interesred in trainers who have a history of giving the young apprentice in the stable a horse with a few pounds in hand for his/her birthday and saying happy birthday kid. it is happening and anybody who thinks it’s not is a fool. the problem still remains to find these trainers and second to find the birthdays of the young jocks

    #68819
    davidjohnson
    Member
    • Total Posts 4491

    EC

    I’m more than happy to be proven wrong if you have some statistics to support it. I just imagine my time is better spent watching replays of races than analysing runners of owners/trainers on their birthday.

    How long would we need to monitor this system for as well to come up with reliable data? In 10 years, a trainer will only have 10 birthdays. Can we agree on that point?:biggrin:  Surely we need a sample study of at least this size so we can work out which trainers ‘don’t give a monkeys’ and which like a ‘treat’. 10 years of work to monitor a system which might not even yield a profit doesn’t sound to me as the best way to occupy my time.  Each to their own, I’ll leave it with you.

    #68821
    Grimes
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1891

    What is suggested is not as simplistic as you conceive it to be, David.

    Nothing, but nothing, in this game should be viewed in isolation. It should be a pointer to look into the matter further. It may be assessed as a confirmatory factor in relation to a fancy,  lead you to look at its form and conceive a fancy for it, or it may be viewed as an irrelevance, depending on all the rest of the background context relating to the horse, its connections and the race.

    I expect the prices of such winners would tend to be rather good too.

    #68826
    davidjohnson
    Member
    • Total Posts 4491

    Only took you 17 days to come up with one:biggrin:

    #68827
    davidjohnson
    Member
    • Total Posts 4491

    Not all that significant. It was his only ride considering he’s based in France nowadays and was riding a French trained horse.

    #68828
    davidjohnson
    Member
    • Total Posts 4491

    Clearly the horse has been saved to provide Deano with a winner on his birthday. Had nothing to do with the coincidental fact that there was a 20k four-year-old hurdle on heavy ground that would suit him down to the ground.

    #68829
    davidjohnson
    Member
    • Total Posts 4491

    I consider myself enlightened. Anyone know who’s birthday it is tomorrow? Save me checking the form tonight. :biggrin:

    #68830
    davidjohnson
    Member
    • Total Posts 4491

    As long as you let me know beforehand and not the day afterwards. :biggrin:

    #68831
    davidjohnson
    Member
    • Total Posts 4491

    See it’s Sue Smith’s birthday. How nice of Haydock to race today so she can win the Rendlesham with Patriarch Express.

    A no-lose day also means a no-win day :cool:

    #68832
    davidjohnson
    Member
    • Total Posts 4491

    I’m on. Should I find myself homeless if he doesn’t win, I expect some hospitality from you EC.

    #68833
    davidjohnson
    Member
    • Total Posts 4491

    Durcan’s birthday is tomorrow?

    Can’t count a winner today. Sorry!

    #68834
    davidjohnson
    Member
    • Total Posts 4491

    That makes him a non qualifier then.

    #68843
    schumi
    Member
    • Total Posts 166

    EC you’re going on about all the money you’ve been making off my idea and you call me a taker? come on you can surely do better than this at least post something that makes sense

Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 31 total)
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