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Yes I know this must happen to you regular betting types all the time, but how often do you get a real hunch on a horse, so that you look at the long odds and you think "But this is going to win! Why can’t anyone else see that? Why are the odds so huge?" <br>And then blow me, if you’re not proved right!
It happened to me a while back with Katie Lawson, who was the 25-1 outsider of the field, and I honestly thought she’d win, which she did! <br>Then at the weekend, it happened with Nick’s Nikita at 10-1. Not too long odds, but I still felt it couldn’t be beaten.
Tell me about some of your good hunches that have paid off.
I can’t even recall the name of the horse, and being 14 and reading the RP on the way to school I never got to back it, but I saw a horse in a seller on the AW (and I’m a national hunt fan!) and just had a hunch.
I forget why.
It was 50-1.
And it won.
And I was bloody desperate to back Dabiroun at the Festival when he won at 25-1 but being at college at the time I only had enough on me to get a Toffee Crisp for lunch so that went by as well…
Why the hell am I going to Uni?
WHY?!
My biggest and best hunch was to buy a horse I had just lost the biggest bet of my life on!
I had £3k on a horse that had been laid out to win a very weak hurdle race. I was lucky to get the bet on at great odds by splitting it up around lots of accounts. Problem occurred when the horse was brought down early in the race. A few weeks later I bought the horse and planned another coup in a slightly better class race at my local track, with ideal conditions. It won SP 10/1 and the £5kEW was nice reward for the effort. The icing on the cake came two weeks later when the horse won a £20k handicap. Best of all the horse in now enjoying a very happy retirement. <br>
A few years ago at Bangor I backed a horse called Leinthall Princess the outsider of the field. It was an absolute bog and she had enormous feet, she duly sluiced home and I got 50/1!!
I think that most people have a ‘sixth sense’ and are aware of something that is going to happen in the future. I’ve had this feeling about many things which have come true. As far as racing goes, I’ve experienced it about 6 times with the best one being a winner at 20/1. The problem is that as I get older, I am experiencing this feeling less and less:(  ÂÂÂ
Belisario at Newcastle last year. No paticular reason I fancied it, it was the rank outsider of the field. Won turning cartwheels at 25/1.
Quote: from cormack15 on 11:21 pm on Sep. 12, 2006[br]No, BH – you tell US the next time you have one!! <br>
<br>….along with all the ‘fabulous hunches’ that end up falling at the first! D’oh!
Anyway, my picks are mostly made at the last minute. I don’t study the form beforehand, I usually make my choice just before the off, based on what I already know about the horse, the form figures up on the screen, or what the commentator’s saying! <br>The two I mentioned were based on what I remembered about the horse from previous races. They’d maybe had bad luck in running before so they were ninth perhaps, but would have won had they had a clear run through, and I remebered that. <br>It’s so satisfying, but of course I kick myself that I didn’t place a damn bet!
(Edited by Burroughhill at 5:50 am on Sep. 13, 2006)
I think we`ve all had a few of those "why on earth is it that price???" jobs. But the most satisfying for me was one occasion on a Friday evening last winter, when I fancied Nephetriti Way at Wolves, so strongly that I had as much as I could get on it on the exchanges (was a student at the time so we`re talking £25 each-way). Not only that but I had a fiver on in the local bookies, and told a few gambling mates of mine to back it big.
One of them is a fairly big bettor, and had given me 50quid earlier that day to say thanks for a 12/1 shot I`d given him previously. He had 100quid e/w on at S.P. in the bookies where I backed it, and a few of us sat back in the local to watch the race. It scooted in at 40/1. Cue joyous scenes and another 100quid thank you from said punter. Needless to say it was some weekend! Wish it`d happen more often!!! The poor bookie had to give my mate a cheque!!!
Shooting Light (RIP) in the Aon chase.<br>Backed it in Best mates 1st gold cup and after a lay off through injury just couldn’t let it go off at 40’s on betfair in a race where the plodder keen leader was odds on. Best of all mccoy was riding the other pipe horse, leaving Richard Johnson the ride the outsider! He was smiling too.
I had this not long ago with Land N Stars at Sandown. There were only about five or six runners in the race and he was the only horse in the race that had won at that level at the time. He was rank outsider of the field SP was 16/1 I couldn’t believe it.
It is great when something like that happens. You feel such a smart arse till your next selection finishes last. ;) :biggrin:
For me it was prolly Longstone Lass popping up at big odds at Sedgy last autumn.
My logic was this: Claire Metcalfe was assigned to look after her when the mare was at Guesty’s, and was by all accounts more or less the only person in the place who could control this particularly fractious mare. She was on board when LL won an amateur riders’ hurdle and Towcester, but the mare was then snapped up by Lee Ibbotson after winning a seller next time out.
Metcalfe acquired Longstone Lass after she was offloaded by Declan Carroll / Ibbotson several months later having achieved absolutely bugger all in the interim. As carer-for and rider of the mare once again (albeit housed at Tracey Waggott’s now rather than Guesty’s), I thought she’d be the ideal, nay only, person who’d be able to get LL settled and popping round nicely on her comeback run, despite the 3m 3f of the Sedgy handicap hurdle being a mile further than she’d ever had to travel, and wouldn’t you know, she won by an easy 2l at 25-1.
Occasionally even I win one!
Jeremy<br>(graysonscolumn)<br>
Adoptive father of two. The patron saint of lower-grade fare. A gently critical friend of point-to-pointing. Kindness is a political act.
I backed Sforzando in an uninspiring race at Yarmouth a couple of years ago. I was at a loose end and looking at the form for a race I would normally have left well alone. The favourite was 5/2, and yet Sforzando had good form with it and had a massive weight pull. I pointed this out to two or three fellow punters and we all had some speculative money on it. It, of course, obliged, and I was treated like King Midas.
It’s nice not only when that happens, but that you also can bring pleasure to the fortunes of your fellow man!
It happened to a lesser degree yesterday with Banna Man. Yes he was only 4-1 but about fourth or fifth in the betting and as a hurdler running a flat race at a much shorter distance that usual in soft ground, I thought he’d easily have way more stamina than the others and should win at a canter. And he did! Nice
My very first bet (I have had no more than half a dozen since) was on Le Duc in his juvenile novice hurdle season – unfortunately, I backed him in the Triumph and not at Aintree .. :biggrin: :biggrin: :biggrin:
Quote: from roland on 5:46 pm on Sep. 13, 2006[br]Shooting Light (RIP) in the Aon chase.<br>Backed it in Best mates 1st gold cup and after a lay off through injury just couldn’t let it go off at 40’s on betfair in a race where the plodder keen leader was odds on.
Fond memories of that day too. SL was owned by John Brown sometime MD of Hill’s and it was noteworthy that they were much the shortest early doors: 16/1 but 33/1 generally if memory serves.
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