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Welcome back. As you were not going to be around I tried myself, hoping that someone else would put up the selections, in case I got it wrong. Which as i can see I did. I agree with the figures you have for child bride, 9.57 and peace corps, 9.06, but I seem to have oversighted ballerina, that’s down to my rubbish spreadsheet powers but had frequency at 8.90, but I cant understand why I missed sharp soveriegn. I have figures of HRB 200 * 100/ 3238= 6.18. Where did I go so wrong.So I ended up with nisaal at 8.78. Unfortunately mine all lost.
Running total + £238.91 after just the one winner yesterday (Sharp Sovereign 3.00 BSP).
Today’s selections…..
Folk 3.20 Bravo Bravo £11.31
Folk 3.50 Marcus Antonius £10.90
Str 4.40 Alaska River £9.23
Bev 5.30 Tropical Duke £8.97I don’t have time now but by tomorrow morning I’ll try to illustrate how my spreadsheet is set up to generate the selections and VR figure.
I’m new here but I found your system interesting. Surely the stats of over 700 views says that people were indeed taking an interest.
650 of those views were from Billion. It’s an age thing he has to keep reading the words and eventually they sink in..
Charles Darwin to conquer the World
I’m new here but I found your system interesting. Surely the stats of over 700 views says that people were indeed taking an interest.
650 of those views were from Billion. It’s an age thing he has to keep reading the words and eventually they sink in..
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Disappointing day again yesterday with only one winner to report namely Marcus Antonius @ 2.68 BSP.
Running total + £215.90
Today’s selections….
14:50 Redcar Rees Rascal £14.75
17:10 Redcar Timocracy £11.08
18:10 Redcar Unknown Rebel £12.90
21:20 Kempton Tislaam £12.52I checked the Racing Post site for non-runners before posting today’s selections.
However in the interim, the day’s first two selections have been pulled out of their respective races!
I’m more than a little concerned that Tislaam is one of the remaining selections today.
This horse was a system selection on successive days last week and was a non-runner on both occasions.
Picking up on the comments by
manchester
, the system seems to work best when the bets are over £10.
This occurs when the HRB rating is greater than 1/10th of the penalty value, and seems to happen most often on the all weather.
I wonder whether there would be any mileage in backing all selections over £10 stake. Obviously, the number of bets each day will vary – for example there are seven such selections today (albeit with 2 of them N/Rs) and on a couple of days in the past week, there would have been no qualifiers.
Just a thought.
brownowl
Good suggestion. Would you be prepared to monitor it for a while and report back?
No winners from two yesterday so the running total has dropped to + £190.48
Today’s selections are……
[*:cu4oor5j]14:50 Perth Jewelled Dagger (IRE) £2,277.00 186 £8.17[/*:m:cu4oor5j]
[*:cu4oor5j]17:10 Fontwell Happy Fleet £2,277.00 193 £8.48[/*:m:cu4oor5j]
[*:cu4oor5j]19:00 Wolverhampton Defector (IRE) £2,457.00 186 £7.57[/*:m:cu4oor5j]
[*:cu4oor5j]21:00 Wolverhampton Straversjoy £1,774.00 213 £12.01[/*:m:cu4oor5j][/list:o:cu4oor5j]On a bit of a losing run at the moment however looking on the bright side it doesn’t take long to re-calculate the running total which now stands at + £154.25p.
Today’s hopefuls are…..
[*:3vo5431f]17:45 Wolverhampton Dreamacha £1,774.00 182 £10.26[/*:m:3vo5431f]
[*:3vo5431f]18:15 Wolverhampton Angelo Poliziano £1,774.00 166 £9.36[/*:m:3vo5431f]
[*:3vo5431f]19:15 Wolverhampton Norman Orpen (IRE) £1,774.00 178 £10.03[/*:m:3vo5431f]
[*:3vo5431f]20:45 Wolverhampton Join Up £1,774.00 184 £10.37[/*:m:3vo5431f][/list:o:3vo5431f]One non-runner and a winner (Dreamacha at 4.31)yesterday means the running total is now + £166.11p.
Today’s selections are…..
[*:e2q10dfz]18:35 Wolverhampton Perfect Friend £2,115.00 192 £9.08[/*:m:e2q10dfz]
[*:e2q10dfz]19:05 Wolverhampton Darcey £2,115.00 202 £9.55[/*:m:e2q10dfz]
[*:e2q10dfz]20:05 Wolverhampton Bute Street £1,774.00 186 £10.48[/*:m:e2q10dfz]
[*:e2q10dfz]21:05 Wolverhampton Pattern Mark £1,774.00 208 £11.72[/*:m:e2q10dfz][/list:o:e2q10dfz]No winners yesterday. No non-runners either to soften the blow!
Running total in freefall; down to + £125.28p.
Today’s selections……
[*:1w8f2aq9]14:15 Musselburgh Oondiri (IRE) £2,590.00 205 £7.92[/*:m:1w8f2aq9]
[*:1w8f2aq9]14:50 Musselburgh Oddsmaker (IRE) £1,943.00 208 £10.71[/*:m:1w8f2aq9]
[*:1w8f2aq9]16:35 Musselburgh King Of The Moors (USA) £1,943.00 192 £9.88[/*:m:1w8f2aq9]
[*:1w8f2aq9]17:30 Market Rasen River Dragon (IRE) £1,370.00 152 £11.09[/*:m:1w8f2aq9][/list:o:1w8f2aq9]No winners yesterday. Running total + £85.68p.
More bad news as the Horseracebase site is not operational as I write. This is why….
http://twitter.com/horseracebase
Due to work committments I won’t be able to check for today’s qualifiers until later this afternoon. That’s assuming the HRB site is back up and running by then!
These are the selections for to-day I think
2.00 Bath Dew Reward
2.30 Bath Ninfea
5.00 Bath Wooden King
5.30 Bath Kinigi
All in double figures
rab123
Not been in long myself but for the record here are the stakes and other info.[*:29ksim70]14:00 Bath Dew Reward (IRE) £1,749.00 193 £11.03[/*:m:29ksim70]
[*:29ksim70]14:30 Bath Ninfea (IRE) £1,749.00 204 £11.66[/*:m:29ksim70]
[*:29ksim70]17:00 Bath Wooden King (IRE) £1,295.00 178 £13.75[/*:m:29ksim70]
[*:29ksim70]17:30 Bath Kinigi (IRE) £1,295.00 212 £16.37[/*:m:29ksim70][/list:o:29ksim70]By coincidence I worked them out but rab123 had beaten me to it. Interestingly enough, as had been commented before horses rated over 10 seem to do better,( don’t know if your stats back this up) so my calculations I had 5. Lutine Charlie at the 3.00 bath. Luckily it came in, bailed me for the day, as the rest got washed out so will never know!!!
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