Home › Forums › Betting Chat – Bets & Tips › Horse Racing Selection ………..
- This topic has 90 replies, 3 voices, and was last updated 15 years, 6 months ago by
shmeeko69.
- AuthorPosts
- March 29, 2010 at 14:55 #286288
Todays win & place selection.
16:00 TOWCESTER H’CAP HURDLE CLASS3 3M SOFT
VIVARINI 22.0 BACK | 5.8 E/WAY (3 PLACES)
Win & Place Adv. – Distance
Ground Conditions
Course CharacteristicsWin & Place Disadv. – Class
Trainer Cours Hurdle RecordAlthough well beaten over the same distance last time & off the same
mark, I think there is a good value bet fo the place market withVivarini
& expect him to fight it out with
Deep Pockets
&
Quay Meadow
. Good value to back
Vivarini
at 22.0 & 5.8 e/way.
Mark
April 5, 2010 at 15:49 #287715Todays win only selection.
17:25 PLUMPTON H’CAP CHASE CLASS 5 3M 2F SOFT
PORTRAIT ROYALE 3.65 BACK (WIN ONLY)
Win Adv. – Distance
Ground Conditions
Class
Trainer Course Chase RecordWin Disadv. – Weight
With the trainers other horse
Quartz Du Montceau
out along with
Hobb’s Dream
, gives
Portrait Royale
an excellent chance. The trainer has a 30% chase win record at Plumpton & as long as the extra weight isn’t to much of a burden over 3 & a 1/4 miles in what is a weak race, should have a really good chance.
Portrait Royale
3.65 to back.
Mark
April 8, 2010 at 14:59 #288569Congratulations to Big Bucks & What A Friend, the Nicholls/Walsh winning combination goes on & on.
Todays win & place selection.
16:10 TAUNTON H’CAP CHASE 2M 3F Good was GS
LOCAL PRESENT 7.6 BACK | 2.54 E/WAY (3 PLACES)
Win & Place Adv. – Distance
Ground Conditions
Horse Recent FormWin & Place Disadv. – Trainer Course Chase Form
In what is a reasonably competitive race I think
Local Present
has good place changes & expect the race to be fought between the chosen horse &
Mon Chevalier
&
Omme Antique
.
Local Present
reasonable value to back at 7.6 & e/way at 2.54
Mark
April 9, 2010 at 14:03 #288891Todays win & place selection.
15:10 AINTREE GRADE 1 CHASE GOOD 2M 4F
ALBERTAS RUN 9.6 BACK | 3.2 E/WAY
(3 places)
Win & Place Adv. – Ground Conditions
Distance
ClassWin & Place Disadv. – Trainer Course Chase Record
With only about six horses with a realistic chance of winning, I think
Albertas Run
offers good e/way value. I think the race will be contested between
Albertas Run
,
Kalahari King
&
Poquelin
. Albertas Run 9.6 to back & 3.2 e/way.
Mark
April 13, 2010 at 13:59 #290065Todays win & place selection.
EXETER 15:10 H’CAP CHASE CLASS3 3M 6F GOOD
TRIGGER THE LIGHT 7.8 BACK | 2.40 E/WAY (3 PLACES)
Win & Place Adv. – Ground
Class
Trainer Recent FormWin & Place Disadv. – Weight
I think this engery sapping race will be contested between Trigger the Light
&Ballygalley Bob
. So the value bet lies with our selection.
Trigger the Light
7.8 to back & 2.40 e/way.
Mark
April 16, 2010 at 14:32 #290619Today win only & not my most original selection ever.
16:00 AYR H’CAP HURDLE CLASS 2 3M GOOD
DOUBLE HIT 4.1 BACK (WIN ONLY)
Win Adv. – Weight
Trainer Course Hurdle Record
Course CharacteristicsWin Disadv. – Class
I expect
Double Hit
to repeat the recent Newbury win off the same
mark & with the jockey weight allowance. The course characteristics
are exactly the same at Ayr & with the trainer’s course record, looks
a good value bet.Caroles Legacy
has a chance & should be in the place market
with possiblyPakanoket
.
Double Hit
4.1 to back.
Mark
April 19, 2010 at 15:06 #291179Todays win only selection.
16:20 PLUMPTON H’CAP CHASE CLASS 4 2M 1F GF
TEMPTING PARADISE 4.2 BACK (WIN ONLY)
Win Adv. – Distance
Class
Horse Recent FormWin Disadv. – Weight
In what is a short field over 17f, I think
Tempting Paradise
has an
excellent chance despite being top weight.She’s Humble
&
Croon
could feature in the place market.
Tempting Paradise
4.2 to back.
Mark
April 27, 2010 at 14:24 #292787Todays win only selection.
16:20 WINCANTON H’CAP HURDLE CLASS 4 2M GF
CRAZY BOLD 4.5 BACK (WIN ONLY)
Win Adv. – Distance
Class
Ground ConditionsWin Disadv. – Weight
Trainer Course RecordI think
Crazy Bold
has the best chance & comes out top on my
ratings. My main concern is the extra weight, although it’s only
over 2m. I expectJenny Potts
&
Weststern
to fight for the place market. Crazy Bold 4.5 to back.
Mark
April 30, 2010 at 14:25 #293151Todays win only selection.
15:35 DONCASTER H’CAP CLASS4 1M 4F GF/GOOD
BOLLIN GRETA 4.1 BACK (WIN ONLY)
Win Adv. – Distance
Ground Conditions
WeightWin Disadv. – Class
Days since last runI think Bollin Greta offers reasonable value & comes out top in my
ratings. Should be a close run thing between Bollin Greta & Abayaan.Bollin Greta
4.1 to back.
Mark
May 7, 2010 at 14:16 #294531Todays win & place selection.
19:30 RIPON H’CAP CLASS 3 1M 2F GOOD TO FIRM
ROSBAY BACK 10.0 | E.WAY 3.05 (3 PLACES)
Win & Place Adv. – Distance
Ground Conditions
Weight
Trainer Recent FormWin & Place Disadv. – Class
Trainer Course FormI think our chosen horse
Rosbay
has good each way claims in what
is a competitve race, with about six horses capable of winning.Rosbay
good value to back at 10.0 & 3.05 e/way.
Mark
May 14, 2010 at 14:51 #295695Todays win only selection.
16:55 YORK H’CAP CLASS 4 1M 4F GF
MONKTON VALE 4.2 BACK (WIN ONLY)
Win Adv. – Weight
Ground Conditions
Trainer 3yo Course RecordWin Disadv. – Distance
I think with
Beat The Rush
now out of the race, this gives
Monkton Vale
a good chance.
Judiciary
is unknown over the distance &
Dancing Dude
is carrying a bit of weight.
Monkton Vale
reasonable value to back at 4.2.
Mark
May 26, 2010 at 14:28 #296998Todays win only selection.
16:00 SEDGEFIELD H’CAP CHASE CLASS4 3M 3F GOOD
FINBIN 3.4 BACK (WIN ONLY)
Win Adv. – Ground Conditions
Distance
Horse Recent FormWin Adv. – Weight
Trainer Course FormI think
Finbin
&
Overton lad
have a similar chance of winning
& the value lies withFinbin
. The main concern with our chosen
horse is the weight over a stamina testing distance.Finbin
3.4 to back.
Mark :thumb
June 1, 2010 at 13:36 #297976Todays win & place selection.
15:30 REDCAR CLASS 5 H’CAP 1M 1F GF
CRYSTAL FEATHER 8.4 BACK | 2.66 E/WAY (3 PLACES)
Win & Place Adv. – Distance
Ground Conditions
Course CharacteristicsWin & Place Disadv. – Class
With rain getting into the ground in the north east of England, this should play more favourably into Crystal Feather’s hands & I expect good place claims, along with top weight Visions Of Johanna. Crystal Feather 8.4 to back & 2.66 e/way.
Mark
June 3, 2010 at 15:27 #298414Todays win only selection
16:40 HAMILTON CLASS 5 H’CAP 1M 5F GF/Good in Places
BIRKSIDE 9.2 BACK (WIN ONLY)
Win Adv. – Distance
Ground Conditions
WeightWin Disadv. – Trainer Course Record
I think
Birkside
has a reasonble chance back at a favourable distance & ground conditions to suit. Should be in
the running along withLady Eclair
from the Johnston yard. Birkside 9.2 to back.
Mark
June 8, 2010 at 15:26 #299521Todays win only selection
16:30 SALISBURY CLASS 4 H’CAP 1M 2F GOOD
BABYCAKES 5.7 BACK (WIN ONLY)
Win Adv. – Distance
Trainer Recent FormWin Disadv. – Weight
In what is a tricky race with the weights, I think Babycakes is handicapped better & should have a good chance along with Sea Of Heartbreak. Babycakes 5.7 to back.
Mark
June 10, 2010 at 14:51 #299814Todays win only selection & a bit of an outsider punt.
NOTTINGHAM 16:00 CLASS 3 H’CAP 1M GS/Soft
COUNT BERTONI 30.0 BACK (WIN ONLY)
Win Adv. – Distance
Ground Conditions
Weight
Trainer Course Record For 3yo’sWin Disadv. – Class
With a previous course win at the same distance & ground conditions to suit & the trainers superb course record, I think Count Bertoni odds are more than generous & should be about 12/1 .
Count Bertoni
30.0 to back.
Mark
June 14, 2010 at 14:40 #30050116:00 SEDGEFIELD CLASS 4 H’CAP CHASE 2M 4F GOOD
TOULOUSE EXPRESS 9.6 | 2.84 E/WAY (3 PLACES)
Win & Place Adv. – Distance
Ground Conditions
Course Record For HorseWin & Place Disadv. – Trainer Overall Chase Record
Toulouse Express
the most experienced horse in the race & excellent course record has good place claims along with another with a good course record
General Hardi
& the competitive
Nile Moon
. Toulouse Express good value to back at 9.6 & e/way 2.84.
Mark

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