The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Ginger’s Winners 2024+

Home Forums Betting Chat – Bets & Tips Ginger’s Winners 2024+

Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 970 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #1684459
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    “Ryanair Chase
    (2.9%) £29 @ 16/1 (B365 NRNB) Protektorat (min 14/1)”
    —————————————————–
    (3.2%) £32 @ 8/1 (WH) Capodanno (min 15/2)

    Taken some 10.5 on the machine. If you want to wait then 10.0 might be available, £4 is available @ 9.6 but am not going to give a £32 advice bet like that. Liquidity is bad and can’t wait forever so have put it up @ 8/1.

    Value Is Everything
    #1684514
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    My Champion Hurdle 100% Book:
    State Man 73% 4/11
    Irish Point 10.25% 17/2
    Iberico Lord 7.75% 12/1
    Nemean Lion 4.25% 22/1
    Zarak The Brave 2% 50/1
    Not So Sleepy 1.5% 66/1
    Luccia 0.75% 132/1
    Colonel Mustard 0.5% 200/1

    Value Is Everything
    #1684533
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    Champion Hurdle Betting Without State Man:
    £25 @ 10/1 (Betfair £25 available) Nemean Lion (min 7/1)

    Value Is Everything
    #1684537
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    “Champion Hurdle
    (2.2%) £22 @ 30 (betfair £235 available) Iberico Lord (min 25/1)”
    —————————————————————–
    (2.075%) £21 @ 38 (betfair £33 available) Nemean Lion (min 28/1)

    ………..

    Champion Hurdle Betting Without State Man:
    (2.5%) £25 @ 10/1 (Betfair £25 available) Nemean Lion (min 7/1)”
    —————————————————————-
    “Saver” (if IL wins without State Man I break even on the two markets)
    £25 @ 3/1 (Laddies) Iberico Lord (min 3/1)

    Value Is Everything
    #1684561
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    “Supreme Novices:
    (6.8%) £34 @ 5.4 (betfair £155 available) Mystical Power (min 4/1)
    (3.75%) £19 @ 10.0 (betfair £59 available) Slade Steel (min 8/1)
    (5.85%) £24 @ 100/30 (B365 NRNB) Mystical Power (min 100/30)
    (4.55%) £26 @ 7/1 (Coral NRNB) Slade Steel (min 13/2)”
    —————————————————–
    (1.58%) £9 @ 43/1 (betfair £16 available) Favour And Fortune (min 40/1)
    saver:
    £9 @ 12.5/1 (betfair £113 available) Mistergif (min 11/1)

    Value Is Everything
    #1684630
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    I now think it might be too soft for Kilbeg King so although has drifted a little am getting out of the saver:
    “National Hunt Chase
    (2.25%) £22 @ 25/1 (Sky NRNB) Apple Away (min 22/1)
    (9.6) £96 @ 2/1 (Coral) Corbetts Cross (min 7/4)
    saver:
    £10 @ 12/1 (B365) Kilberg King (min 11/1)”
    ————————————————-
    LAY £9 @ 14 (betfair £85 available) Kilbeg King (max 15)

    Value Is Everything
    #1684645
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    With the softer ground placing more emphasis on stamina, Corbetts Cross doesn’t have quite the chance I first thought. Although he still is value, unlike Apple Away who’s shortened up considerably! I also may have underestimated Embassy Gardens. I thought he’d shown signs of temperament but has done nothing wrong since going over fences.

    This is my new 100% book for Soft ground:
    34.5% 15/8 Corbetts Cross
    34.5% 15/8 Embassy Gardens
    10% 9/1 Salvador Ziggy
    9.5% 10/1 Apple Away
    4.5% 22/1 Kilbeg King
    3.5% 28/1 Harry’s Friend
    3.5% 28/1 Mr Vango

    “National Hunt Chase
    (2.25%) £22 @ 25/1 (Sky NRNB) Apple Away (min 22/1)
    (9.6) £96 @ 2/1 (Coral) Corbetts Cross (min 7/4)
    saver:
    £10 @ 12/1 (B365) Kilberg King (min 11/1)”
    LAY £9 @ 14 (betfair £85 available) Kilbeg King (max 15)”
    ——————————————————–
    part saver:
    £25 @ 3.3 (betfair £37 available) Embassy Gardens (min 85/40)

    If I did the bet now, Corbetts Cross would’ve been: 85 @ 3.4 with 85/40 as the min price.
    If corbetts does shorten up a bit I might lay a little of the 96 back.

    Value Is Everything
    #1684658
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    This is my current 100% book for the Supreme:

    Mystical Power 22% 7/2
    Slade Steel 21% (almost halfway between 4/1 and 7/2)
    Tullyhill 19% (almost halfway between 9/2 and 4/1)
    Jericko Du Reponent 10% 9/1
    Mistergiff 10% 9/1
    Firefox 9% 10/1
    Favour And Fortune 3.25% 28/1
    Asian Master 3% 33/1
    Tellherthename 2% 50/1
    Gold Dancer 0.75% 132/1
    Supersundae 0.3% 300/1
    King Hill 0.2% 500/1

    With Slade Steel I make now 21% and is available @ 6.4 which is 15.6%
    So 21 – 15.6 = 5.4
    54 + 21 = 75 = 7.5% or £75 and I’ve only had £45 on it so far.
    Therefore another £30…

    “Supreme Novices:
    (6.8%) £34 @ 5.4 (betfair £155 available) Mystical Power (min 4/1)
    (3.75%) £19 @ 10.0 (betfair £59 available) Slade Steel (min 8/1)
    (5.85%) £24 @ 100/30 (B365 NRNB) Mystical Power (min 100/30)
    (4.55%) £26 @ 7/1 (Coral NRNB) Slade Steel (min 13/2)”
    (1.58%) £9 @ 43/1 (betfair £16 available) Favour And Fortune (min 40/1)
    saver:
    £9 @ 12.5/1 (betfair £113 available) Mistergif (min 11/1)”
    ———————————————————-
    So an extra:
    (7.5%) £30 @ 6.4 (betfair £1935 available) Slade Steel (min 5/1)

    I’ll hope to reduce my bet on Mystical Power a bit if and when it shortens a little from the 4/1 it now is.

    Value Is Everything
    #1684664
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    “Supreme Novices:
    (6.8%) £34 @ 5.4 (betfair £155 available) Mystical Power (min 4/1)
    (3.75%) £19 @ 10.0 (betfair £59 available) Slade Steel (min 8/1)
    (5.85%) £24 @ 100/30 (B365 NRNB) Mystical Power (min 100/30)
    (4.55%) £26 @ 7/1 (Coral NRNB) Slade Steel (min 13/2)”
    (1.58%) £9 @ 43/1 (betfair £16 available) Favour And Fortune (min 40/1)
    saver:
    £9 @ 12.5/1 (betfair £113 available) Mistergif (min 11/1)
    (7.5%) £30 @ 6.4 (betfair £1935 available) Slade Steel (min 5/1)”
    —————————————————–
    With more rain forecast I have too much invested in MP so…
    LAY £20 @ 5.2 (betfair £110 available) Mythical Power

    Value Is Everything
    #1684669
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    “Supreme Novices:
    (6.8%) £34 @ 5.4 (betfair £155 available) Mystical Power (min 4/1)
    (3.75%) £19 @ 10.0 (betfair £59 available) Slade Steel (min 8/1)
    (5.85%) £24 @ 100/30 (B365 NRNB) Mystical Power (min 100/30)
    (4.55%) £26 @ 7/1 (Coral NRNB) Slade Steel (min 13/2)”
    (1.58%) £9 @ 44 (betfair £16 available) Favour And Fortune (min 40/1)
    £9 @ 12.5/1 (betfair £113 available) Mistergif (min 11/1) saver
    (7.5%) £30 @ 6.4 (betfair £1935 available) Slade Steel (min 5/1)
    LAY £20 @ 5.2 (betfair £110 available) Mythical Power (max 5.3)
    —————————————————————
    another
    (2.0%) £11 @ 42 (betfair £23 available) Favour And Fortune (min 33/1)

    Value Is Everything
    #1684675
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    SUPREME NOVICES HURDLE
    (It Keeps changing, as there’s more rain on the way)
    My 100% book now is:
    SLADE STEEL 22% 7/2
    Tullyhill 22% 7/2
    Mystical Power 18% 9/2
    MISTERGIFF 10% 9/1
    Jericko Du Reponent 9% 10/1
    Firefox 9% 10/1
    FAVOUR AND FORTUNE 3.75% 25/1
    Asian Master 3% 33/1
    Tellherthename 2% 50/1
    Gold Dancer 0.75% 132/1
    Supersundae 0.3% 300/1
    King Hill 0.2% 500/1

    “Supreme Novices:
    (6.8%) £34 @ 5.4 (betfair £155 available) Mystical Power (min 4/1)
    (3.75%) £19 @ 10.0 (betfair £59 available) Slade Steel (min 8/1)
    (5.85%) £24 @ 100/30 (B365 NRNB) Mystical Power (min 100/30)
    (4.55%) £26 @ 7/1 (Coral NRNB) Slade Steel (min 13/2)”
    (1.58%) £9 @ 44 (betfair £16 available) Favour And Fortune (min 40/1)
    £9 @ 12.5/1 (betfair £113 available) Mistergif (min 11/1) saver
    (7.5%) £30 @ 6.4 (betfair £1935 available) Slade Steel (min 5/1)
    LAY £20 @ 5.2 (betfair £110 available) Mythical Power (max 5.3)
    (2.0%) £11 @ 42 (betfair £23 available) Favour And Fortune (min 33/1)”
    ———————————————————————-
    LAY another £5 @ 5.2 (betfair £53 available) Mystical Power (max 5.3)
    And to make the saver a main bet…
    (3.6%) £27 @ 13.5 (betfair £238 available) Mistergiff (min 11/1)

    Value Is Everything
    #1684680
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    I’ve looked through the form again and there are very few who are sure to stay the trip on the going.
    This is my new 100% book for very Soft ground:
    WAS…..EDIT….THIS MORNING
    2/1 Embassy Gardens 2/1
    5/2 Corbetts Cross 3/1
    6/1 Apple Away 11/2
    9/1 Salvador Ziggy 9/1
    16/1 Mr Vango 12/1
    22/1 Kilbeg King 22/1
    33/1 Harry’s Friend 50/1

    The softer ground has changed the race enormously.

    “National Hunt Chase
    (2.25%) £22 @ 25/1 (Sky NRNB) Apple Away (min 22/1)
    (9.6) £96 @ 2/1 (Coral) Corbetts Cross (min 7/4)
    saver:
    £10 @ 12/1 (B365) Kilberg King (min 11/1)”
    LAY £9 @ 14 (betfair £85 available) Kilbeg King (max 15)”
    part saver:
    £25 @ 3.3 (betfair £37 available) Embassy Gardens (min 85/40 NOW 9/4)
    ———————————————————————
    Another:
    (4.0) £18 @ 8.8 (betfair £79 available) Apple Away (min 7/1)
    LAY £50 @ 3.5 (betfair £587 available) Corbetts Cross (max 3.5)

    Value Is Everything
    #1684714
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    ^
    saver:
    £5 @ 14/1 (B365) Mr Vango (min 14/1)

    Value Is Everything
    #1684735
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    “National Hunt Chase
    (2.25%) £22 @ 25/1 (Sky NRNB) Apple Away (min 22/1)
    (9.6) £96 @ 2/1 (Coral) Corbetts Cross (min 7/4)
    saver:
    £10 @ 12/1 (B365) Kilberg King (min 11/1)”
    LAY £9 @ 14 (betfair £85 available) Kilbeg King (max 15)”
    part saver:
    £25 @ 3.3 (betfair £37 available) Embassy Gardens (min 85/40 NOW 9/4)
    (4.0) £18 @ 8.8 (betfair £79 available) Apple Away (min 7/1)
    LAY £50 @ 3.5 (betfair £587 available) Corbetts Cross (max 3.5)
    saver:
    £5 @ 14/1 (B365) Mr Vango (min 14/1)”
    ————————————-
    LAY another £15 @ 3.6 (betfair £127 available) Corbetts Cross (max 3.75)

    Value Is Everything
    #1684757
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    “Supreme Novices:
    (6.8%) £34 @ 5.4 (betfair £155 available) Mystical Power (min 4/1)
    (3.75%) £19 @ 10.0 (betfair £59 available) Slade Steel (min 8/1)
    (5.85%) £24 @ 100/30 (B365 NRNB) Mystical Power (min 100/30)
    (4.55%) £26 @ 7/1 (Coral NRNB) Slade Steel (min 13/2)”
    (1.58%) £9 @ 44 (betfair £16 available) Favour And Fortune (min 40/1)
    £9 @ 12.5/1 (betfair £113 available) Mistergif (min 11/1) saver
    (7.5%) £30 @ 6.4 (betfair £1935 available) Slade Steel (min 5/1)
    LAY £20 @ 5.2 (betfair £110 available) Mythical Power (max 5.3)
    (2.0%) £11 @ 42 (betfair £23 available) Favour And Fortune (min 33/1)”
    LAY another £5 @ 5.2 (betfair £53 available) Mystical Power (max 5.3)
    (3.6%) £27 @ 13.5 (betfair £238 available) Mistergiff (min 11/1)
    —————————————————————-
    LAY another £20 @ 5.1 (betfair £5634 available) Mystical Power (max 5.6)

    Value Is Everything
    #1684789
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    “Champion Hurdle
    (2.2%) £22 @ 30 (betfair £235 available) Iberico Lord (min 25/1)
    (2.075%) £21 @ 38 (betfair £33 available) Nemean Lion (min 28/1)

    ………..

    Champion Hurdle Betting Without State Man:
    (2.5%) £25 @ 10/1 (Betfair £25 available) Nemean Lion (min 7/1)”
    saver:
    £25 @ 3/1 (Laddies) Iberico Lord (min 3/1)”
    ——————————————
    saver:
    £37 @ 2.64 (betfair £78 available) Irish Point (min 2.5)
    another:
    £5 @ 4.3 (betfair £90 available) Iberico Lord (min 3/1)

    Value Is Everything
    #1684839
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 32978

    DAY 1 CHELTENHAM

    Supreme Novices:
    (6.8%) £34 @ 5.4 (betfair £155 available) Mystical Power (min 4/1)
    (3.75%) £19 @ 10.0 (betfair £59 available) Slade Steel (min 8/1) 1st
    (5.85%) £24 @ 100/30 (B365 NRNB) Mystical Power (min 100/30)
    (4.55%) £26 @ 7/1 (Coral NRNB) Slade Steel (min 13/2)
    (1.58%) £9 @ 44 (betfair £16 available) Favour And Fortune (min 40/1)
    £9 @ 13.5 (betfair £113 available) Mistergif (min 11/1) saver
    (7.5%) £30 @ 6.4 (betfair £1935 available) Slade Steel (min 5/1)
    LAY £20 @ 5.2 (betfair £110 available) Mythical Power (max 5.3)
    (2.0%) £11 @ 42 (betfair £23 available) Favour And Fortune (min 33/1)
    LAY another £5 @ 5.2 (betfair £53 available) Mystical Power (max 5.3)
    And to make the saver a main bet…
    (3.6%) £27 @ 13.5 (betfair £238 available) Mistergiff (min 11/1)
    LAY another £20 @ 5.1 (betfair £5634 available) Mystical Power (max 5.6)

    STAKE 189
    RETURN £635

    1st Slade Steel Returns 190, 208, 192 and +45 lays = R635 – 189 = +£446

    +£446.00 :yahoo:

    _____________________________________________________

    Champion Hurdle
    (2.2%) £22 @ 30 (betfair £235 available) Iberico Lord (min 25/1)
    (2.075%) £21 @ 38 (betfair £33 available) Nemean Lion (min 28/1)
    STAKE £43.00
    -£43.00
    _____________________________________________________
    Champion Hurdle Betting Without State Man:
    (2.5%) £25 @ 11 (Betfair £25 available) Nemean Lion (min 7/1)
    savers:
    £25 @ 3/1 (Laddies) Iberico Lord (min 3/1)
    £37 @ 2.64 (betfair £78 available) Irish Point (min 2.5) 1st
    £5 @ 4.3 (betfair £90 available) Iberico Lord (min 3/1)
    BACK £92
    RETURNS £97.68

    1st Irish Point R97.68 – 92 = +£5.68

    +5.68

    ______________________________________________________

    National Hunt Chase
    (2.25%) £22 @ 25/1 (Sky NRNB) Apple Away (min 22/1) -£22
    (9.6) £96 @ 2/1 (Coral) Corbetts Cross (min 7/4) 1st +£192
    saver:
    £10 @ 12/1 (B365) Kilberg King (min 11/1) -£10
    LAY £9 @ 14 (betfair £85 available) Kilbeg King (max 15) +£9
    part saver:
    £25 @ 3.3 (betfair £37 available) Embassy Gardens (min 85/40 NOW 9/4) -£25
    (4.0) £18 @ 8.8 (betfair £79 available) Apple Away (min 7/1) -£18
    LAY £50 @ 3.5 (betfair £587 available) Corbetts Cross (max 3.5) -£125
    saver:
    £5 @ 14/1 (B365) Mr Vango (min 14/1) -£5
    LAY another £15 @ 3.6 (betfair £127 available) Corbetts Cross (max 3.75) -£39

    STAKE £176 (£340 incl. Lays)
    RETURNS £297

    Corbetts Cross R288 + Lay R9 = £297
    L125 + L39 = 164 + 176 = £340

    -£43.00

    Day’s profit / loss
    +£446.00 Supreme
    -£43.00 Champion Hurdle
    +£5.68 Champion Hurdle Betting Without State Man
    -£43.00 National Hunt Chase
    ———–
    +£365.68

    Betting Bank
    £10,365.68

    Profit
    £365.68

    Value Is Everything
Viewing 17 posts - 35 through 51 (of 970 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.