Ginger's Winners

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This topic contains 1,279 replies, has 24 voices, and was last updated by Gingertipster Gingertipster 10 hours, 45 minutes ago.

Viewing 15 posts - 1,171 through 1,185 (of 1,280 total)
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  • #1446657

    MTOTO88
    Participant
    • Total Posts 284

    Is the place lay of Emblazoned to reduce liabilities on the race or a value call?

    #1446660
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 25882

    Diamond Jubilee:
    31 points @ 10/1 (B365) City Light (min 17/2)
    33 points @ 12/1 (PP) The Tin Man (min 10/1)
    25 points each way @ 20/1 (betfair) Emblazoned (min 16/1)
    25 points & 20/1 (B365) Dream Of Dreams (min 16/1)
    LAY (in place market) 25 points @ 4.8/1 (betfair place) Emblazoned (min 5/1)

    Saver:
    13 points @ 9/1 (betfair) Invincible Army (min 8/1)

    value is everything
    #1446661
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 25882

    Sort of. But at the time, I had to back Emblazoned each way in order to get the 20/1, Mtoto; not available anywhere else. So always wanted to lay the place.

    value is everything
    #1446663
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 25882

    I’ve also done the same with Blue Point for half saver @ 2.4/1, but the price went too quickly for me to put it up last night. Seems to me also that Blue Point is likely to either win or blow out. So am happy to back him at a bigger price ew and then lose a bit on the place market.

    value is everything
    #1446689
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 25882

    Jersey:
    91 points @ 2.9/1 (betfair) Space Blues (min 9/4)
    36 points @ 10/1 (L) Urban Legend (min 17/2)

    15 points @ 23/1 (betfair) Bye Bye Hong Kong (min 20/1)

    value is everything
    #1446690
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 25882

    Jersey:
    91 points @ 2.9/1 (betfair) Space Blues (min 9/4)
    36 points @ 10/1 (L) Urban Legend (min 17/2)
    15 points @ 23/1 (betfair) Bye Bye Hong Kong (min 20/1)

    14 points @ 10/1 Momkin (betfair

    value is everything
    #1446701
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 25882

    If only the ground wasn’t as fast. LOL

    value is everything
    #1446878
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 25882

    Needed Cleonte.
    Sorry, not a good Royal Ascot. :rose:

    July Cup
    50 points @ 6/1 (B365) Dream Of Dreams (min 11/2)

    value is everything
    #1447021

    Istabraq
    Participant
    • Total Posts 93

    Does broome look overpriced to you at 11/4 ginger or is that about the right price?

    #1447026
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 25882

    In form terms you’re dead right, Istabraq. Broome looks over-priced by the distance back from AVD. But at this stage do wonder whether that difference in price might be because he’s less likely to run than AVD… But maybe I’m over-thinking? Could be just me reticent of risking damaging the 8/1 Madhmoon value bet if I were to back Broome and Broome comes out.

    I’ll keep an eye on prices, but probably wait for day of race/NRNB before backing Broome. Although also possible might choose to just LAY Madhmoon as a saver for a risk free Irish Derby. :unsure:

    value is everything
    #1447042

    Istabraq
    Participant
    • Total Posts 93

    Another reason could be that it’s because moore is on AVD, though not sure if that would affect broomes/AVD price by that amount

    #1447055
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 25882

    Eclipse:
    67 points @ 5/2 (L) Enable (min 9/4)

    value is everything
    #1447058
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 25882

    True, Istabraq.
    In my experience of all my value bets, second strings (also 3rd, 4th etc) are less likely to shorten up after I’ve backed them than any other type. ie Doesn’t mean they’re not value at time of writing but often get even bigger. (Seems to put off a lot of backers). So yes, another reason why I’ll wait to back Broome. :good:

    value is everything
    #1447066

    Frenchy15
    Participant
    • Total Posts 275

    Has JG mentioned this week she’s definitely on target GT?

    #1447067

    Frenchy15
    Participant
    • Total Posts 275

    Ah ignore that, just seen the comment on the eclipse page

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