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EBF Novice Handicap Hurdle

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  • #1484435
    Venture to CognacVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 17605

    Not my usual type of race, but there is one I like…..

    https://www.racingpost.com/racecards/54/sandown/2020-03-07/750513

    https://www.oddschecker.com/horse-racing/ante-post-racing/national-hunt/novices-handicap-hurdle-final/winner

    Been following McFabulous since his debut, and despite the odd blip, he can turn in a smart performance, and was a lot more like it last time.

    I’ve bet him for The Martin Pipe, thankfully NRNB, as Nicholls states that this is the main aim. He’s not the worst Nicholls, by a long way, but I’m still wary of shouts like that, and there’s been a few times he’s went back on such comments.

    I’ll take a chance though, with Cobden jocked up. He’s surely better than current mark, and the 10’s looks too big. I’ve always though he’s a horse with a decent future.

    I’d have Kiltealy Briggs as a big danger.

    McFabulous 10’s

    #1484438
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1771

    Annoyed with myself as I dived in at 8s with hills then shortly after I put the bet on betfred priced him up at 10s :wacko:

    Still think 8s is a good price can see him being half that come saturday

    I’d be shocked if he wasnt a 140+ horse now he jumps better

    132 looks a very good mark

    #1484446
    Venture to CognacVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 17605

    I’m happy enough FF, but I’m still just a wee bit wary, looks too good to be true.

    #1484480
    jackh1092jackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2575

    Well done fellas on getting that price on McFab, saw it mentioned on here but once i went into the preview night i left it. Not 100% sold on the horse myself, but he was big at 10s as his bumper form makes him look very well in at 132.

    I’ve had a good look at the race now, and have landed on one that i’m not even certain will line up. If he does i think 25s on Hometown Boy is huge. Mcfabulous beat him comfortably last time. Mcf was in receipt of 6pds. It was a 4 runner race and Hometown Boy tried to force it, but looking at the pacemaps he probably didn’t go fast enough if trying to do that successfully. Obviously, he is nowhere near as sexy as Mcf, but he will now get 2pd from Mcf. This won’t be a small field 4 runner race where he’ll need to worry about the pace of the race, nor will he be a sitting duck (i hope) in what turned out to be a two horse race last time. He bolted up off 114 and the Warwick race he finished 3rd at 20/1 has worked out nicely.
    Edmunds has 2 entered here, his strike rate is 17 runners 6 winners. 4 from 9 hurdlers and 3 placed and 1 fourth….So he likes to do well here! Guessing here, but given that strike rate i don’t think both his will run.

    So i’ll hold fire just a bit longer, but i think he might be too good to refuse.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1484497
    Lemons68Lemons68
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    • Total Posts 436

    I think that 25-1 is a huge price for Hijack, which casts doubt on him turning up, but I’ll chance it.

    #1484525
    Venture to CognacVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 17605

    Few people agreeing with you Mark, into 10’s in a lot of places, looks a good spot.

    #1484568
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1771

    Mcfabulous is a silly price now

    Surely people wont be backing him at 5/2 for a big field handicap

    #1484633
    jackh1092jackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 2575

    Agreed FF, nice to see for you guys.

    So Gething is jocked on Hometown Boy and he’s still available at 25s.

    So it’s 25/1 vs 5/2 or whatever. I’ll take that.

    Backing now.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1486108
    DBRDBRDBRDBR
    Participant
    • Total Posts 434

    Nice price for McFabulous there Venture! Good luck. I’m keen on Keen on (sorry) at 12-1. Quite unexposed and I can see him improve again.

    #1486115
    Venture to CognacVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 17605

    Sadly no DBR, that was for the original Sandown fixture, so my bet was cancelled.

    Hopefully he’ll still win today, I’ve always liked him, but I won’t be betting him.

    #1486144
    Cork All Star
    Participant
    • Total Posts 420

    McFabulous has a clear favourite’s chance. Also had a small each way punt on Blackfinch.

    #1486165
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1771

    Weve got unlucky there VTC

    We identified one who was absolutely chucked in

    Shame he wasnt a few pounds higher as hed have taken a lot of beating in the martin pipe

    #1486166
    Venture to CognacVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 17605

    Yeah one of those things FF, but different course different day, might have been different.

    I’m more annoyed at him missing Martin Pipe.

    We can keep tabs on him going forward, I always thought he’d be decent.

    #1486167
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1771

    Be surprised if he wasnt a grade 1/grade 2 horse given his bumper form and being a half brother to waiting patiently

    I wouldn’t be suprised if the better ground today suited him much better than the ground hed have got last saturday

    #1486168
    All Jeff
    Participant
    • Total Posts 207

    Posted in error

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