June 22, 2020 at 00:50 #1491602
Holy sh*t It’s a 4 way tie at the top, and no cash out being offered
by William Hill, so I guess I’m going the whole road. Now behind the sofa breathing
into a brown paper bag and listening to whale music…..none of it is workingJune 22, 2020 at 02:06 #1491603
Oh well, it was looking good for a while when he birdied the 16th to take the
outright lead, but then made an ar*e of the 17th and dropped a shot. As it happens,
it didn’t matter a hoot at Simpson had 3 birdies in a row from the 15th. Not to
worry, I’m as pleased as punch with my e/w T5th with no shared deduction.
Our man Dechambeau gave it a good shot Darren, but that bogey at 14 did his chance.
Technically he was a place too, but with 8 places and 6 sharing that spot, probably
hardly worth picking it up
Bad luck Raymo with Palmer, I thought if he birdied or eagled the par 5 15th he had
half a chance, but a bogey finished his round.
It’s the Travelers Championship next week, which brings back happy memories of last
year with Chez Reavie winning it at 55/1. Best of luck next week guysJune 22, 2020 at 17:27 #1491641
Bets for Travellers championship
JUSTIN THOMAS 14/1
When you think this pint sized powerhouse not normally play at Harbour town or Colinal done well at both tracks back at a venue when been 3rd before can win here add another title.
XANDER SCAUFFELE 33/1
Has done ok here before was 14th on debut and every chance of winning Charles schaawb challenge but in water on 15th final day i look for him to bounce back at a place suit him very much.
SUNGAE IM 35/1
Not a threat here last year but did close with a round in 66 on final day here to suggest a he getting hang of it and much improved player to
JOAQUIM NEIMANN 55/1
Was 8th here last year and golf return has started to find his form was up during final day at Harbour town looks like this kid improving all the time not scared of those big names to.
CAMERON CHAMP 150/1
Big hitters thrive here and this Champ can has well he MC here last year but was in bad form won again since was also 14th at Schaawb challenge a chance going under the radar here.
Good luck guysJune 23, 2020 at 22:29 #1491738
Well we’ve got 3 the same this week Darren. so I’m hoping we’re both
smarter than the average bear
Bryson DeChambeau 12/1 (25/1 1st round leader market)
I had a go with him last week at the Heritage and he left himself just too much to do
going into the last round after a so so 70min the 3rd. He finished well with a 66 for
T8, and he’s not far off that win. His last 7 starts have gone 1st, T52, T5, 2nd, 4th,
T3 and T8. That’s consistant top class golf. He finished T8 here last year. What’s
not to like
Xander Schauffele 30/1 (40 1st round leader market)
Darren’s already put the case up for him, That’ll do for me.
Sungjae Im 35/1 (50/1 1st round leader market)
Ditto to Darren above
Joaquin Niemann 40/1 (55/1 1st round leader market)
I thought for a minute that he might just pull it off last week when he hit the
front on the back nine at the Heritage, but a late bogey at the same time as
Simpson hit 3 birdies blew his chance away. I’m not complaining as he was a
100/1 place for me in T5. He was a stupid price, as I said last week, and the
bookies have latched on to how good this guy is and more than halved him. I
think he has the game for here having finished T5 last year. I fancy him for
the 2nd week running.
That would me be done normally, but with the 100/1 place and the best Ascot
I’ve ever had, I’m going to throw in a couple at big prices that are no forlorn
Harold Varner 150/1 (100/1 1st round leader market)
I’ve had a couple of goes with Harold over the past couple of years, and although he’s
looked like he might just pull it off, he never has. His game is good though, and he’s
going to pull it off one of these days. Chez Reavie didn’t win his 1st tournament here,
but it broke his duck for 11 years. Hopefully Harold can do well here, I’d be happy with
a place (8 places) but I’m sure he’s going to land one of these some year.
Sebastian Munoz 200/1 (100/1 1st round leader market)
I said that Niemann was no 100/1 shot last week, but WTF are the bookies thinking
making this guy 200/1 (or 150/1 9 places with Sky). I had Sungjae Im in the Sanderson
Farms last year, it came down to Im and Munoz, but Munoz looked certain to lose and Im
went 1/11. I stuck on enough to cover Im win, so still came out in front when Munoz
pulled it off. He was 3rd in the RSM Classic, but went off the boil a bit after that.
He missed the cut in his comeback at the Charles Schwab, but looked much better last
week in the Heritage kicking off with a 65 and was steady with 69,69 and 68 for T28.
If anywhere near back to his Sanderson farms form, or his 3 rounds of 66 in the Greenbrier,
then he would have a very decent chance here.
That’s me for this week Darren, hopefully see Raymo in here before the off or if not
he’ll pop up with a late one on Sunday for sure. Good luck guysJune 25, 2020 at 17:21 #1491835
No Raymo again that 3weeks not been here before it started i think he needs to be in detention
No Koepka or Champ the latter tested postive covid while the caddie of Kopeka was postive toJune 26, 2020 at 13:07 #1491878Ben_BernankeParticipant
- Total Posts 662
Had Xander last week and he flopped so left him this time haha typical, best of luck to you chaps that have backed him though!!
I bet 4 guys last night after the end of play (all e/w top 5) – Patrick Rodgers 150/1, Chris Stroud 300/1, Michael Thompson 80/1 and Tyler Duncan 80/1.
Unfortunately the Mrs is on her way over so won’t be able to watch it today, shall be back on here tomorrow though to talk through how all my guys are +10 and how I wish I’d backed Schauffle!
Good luck!!!June 26, 2020 at 14:27 #1491886
That’s Sod’s Law with Xander Ben, we’ve all been there. He’s not setting the heather
alight so far in his 2nd round though, 1+ after 7, I was hoping for better. Your guys
Thompson and Duncan are sitting handy at 80/1, good luck with themJune 30, 2020 at 15:08 #1492247
Bets for Rocket Mortgage
SUNJAE IM 25/1
A finish here in midfield on debut here last year was ok by him but he improved so much since then that expect him to contend here it true since Golf come back not sparkle but he thrives on busy schedule and this not not a strong field when you think Simpson and De Chambeau not play here before.
VICKTOR HOVLAND 22/1
This young starlet from Norway has improved in each 3 events since lockdown over and feel do so again.He finish here last year with a 64 and every chance improve on that.
DOC REDMAN 45/1
This guy ball strking been outstanding since come back when you think was 350/1 last week now price is 45/1 tells you everything but also was 2nd here last year to.
MATTHEW WOLF 125/1
The wolfman excels on new tracks as like when won 3m open this powerful hitter can contend here and could easily outrun his odds.
RYAN ARMOUR 150/1
Was 46th last year play in final round 3ball with Rory last sunday beat him that give him belif to make a bold run here.
BigG AND rAYMO ANY BETS GUYSJuly 1, 2020 at 11:13 #1492309raymo61Participant
- Total Posts 4800
Looks like I am out of detention now boys
It was all a bit up in the air there last week but now can concentrate on getting back into the golf.
I have had five in the Rocket Mortgage this week and it looks like a few of them have been picked by others too!!
H VARNER 66/1
R ARMOUR 125/1 Sorry Darren
B SNEDEKER 60/1
B STUARD 90/1
R FOWLER 45/1
To be honest mam not very confident but had to have a go and get back into it
Good Luck GuysJuly 1, 2020 at 15:26 #1492342
Rocket Mortgage classic
Patrick Reed 16/1 (28/1 1st round leader market)
At the tail end of last year and the start of this, he was in sizzling form winning
the WGC Mexico C’ship in February and a handful of top 10s. He came back after the
break with another top 10 in the Charles Schwab and followed that with an uncharacteristic
MC at the Heritage. Started slowly last week in the Travelers but folowed that with
3 good rounds, including a superb last round 64. He was 5th here last year, I think
he can get inside of that this year.
Viktor Hovland 20/1 (30/1 1st round leader market)
I’m a fan of this young man and was wishing I’d stuck him up last week at the Travelers
when he posted a 1st round 63. He didn’t quite keep that up, but still put in a good
performance finishing T11. He knows his way round here having gone round T11 last year.
He’s a better player this year and got his name on the scoreboard when winning the Puerto
Rico Open in February. He’s got a realistic shout here.
Harold Varner III 66/1 (66/1 1st round leader market)
As I said last week, he still is chasing that Holy Grail of his 1st PGA Tour win, and
2 rounds off 66 and 2 of 69 last week in the Travelers still wasn’t good enough (T32).
He’s playing well and with a bit of luck he could go close here. Raymo has put him up
too, so we’re on a cert
Sabastian Munoz (100/1 (90/1 1st round leader market)
Two level par rounds were no where near good enough to get into the cut last week at
the Travelers, a bogey folowed by a triple bogey at the 15th where he found the water,
on the back 9 made sure of that. I hope he’s been working on his driver seeing as he’s
had an extra couple of days to put that right. He’s better than that and if he’s tightened
things up a bit he has a chance of of adding to his win at the Sanderson Farms last September.
He’s no 100/1 shot.
Charles Schwartzel 150/1 (100/1 1str round leader market)
I thought I was finished with the above 4 picks, but then I clocked that they had Schwartzel
on offer at 150/1. That’s almost an insult for a winner of the Green jacket. Admittedly
he’s not been in that kind of form, but a T5 at Pebble Beach just before the enforced
break shows that he still has the game to win. If he’s in the mood, he most certainly
could cause an upset.
That’s me Darren, it’s not like me to leave out DeChambeau when he’s playing great golf,
but I can’t bring myself to take 6/1 without a ball being struck. I’ll keep an eye to
see if he drifts out a bit, and the same goes for my old pal Sungjae Im. glad to see
you’ve found your way back into the fold Raymo, best of luck this week mateJuly 2, 2020 at 08:15 #1492404Middle_Of_MarchParticipant
- Total Posts 2648
Golf is one of the few sports where I don’t mind getting stuck into a favourite in a big field if there’s enough reasoning and I think Dechambeau is a bet in the Rocket Mortgage Classic. He’s 13/2 with Skybet but more importantly 8 places. I just can’t see him in his current form being bettered by 8 players in this field. He’s just a very decent each way play in my opinion with that in mind. When you consider that of his last 8 tournaments, he’s finished in the top 8 on 7 of those occasions, at 13/2 in a weaker field, he then becomes a seriously decent each way bet to nothing.
Have also had a small bit on him winning the first round at 19/1 (e/w) as he’s a good starter and an even smaller play at 66/1 on him being a wire to wire winner.
Asides from those DeChambeau bets, I’ve also had two nibbles in the ‘without the favourites’ market on Paddy Power. Whilst it is win only, it takes the top 7 in the betting out of it and I thought there was two players of small value worth a little play which were Jason Day at 28/1 and Brandt Snedeker at 30/1.
Rocket Challenge bets:
– 4 points E/W – Bryson Dechambeau @ 13/2 E/W (8 places)
– 0.5 points E/W – Bryson Dechambeau 1st round leader @ 19/1 E/W (6 places)
– 0.3 points – Bryson DeChambeau wire to wire winner @ 66/1
– 0.5 points – Jason Day (without the favourites) @ 28/1
– 0.5 points – Brant Snedekar (without the favourites) @ 30/1
Good luck allJuly 2, 2020 at 22:52 #1492499Middle_Of_MarchParticipant
- Total Posts 2648
Dechambeau bogeying the last is gonna cost me the first round leader bet by 1 shot (albeit with ties) and potentially the wire to wire winner bet if he wins the tournament.
Still.. a good start for the main bet as he’s played superbly down the back 9.July 3, 2020 at 02:18 #1492510
I clocked when he was joint leader going into the last MOM, despite not
helping my cause I was hoping he would birdie it to give you the outright
1st round leader, I’m a big fan of 1st round betting. That was a sore one.
As you say, he’s in a great position, and even with 3 rounds to go, you’d
have to fancy him to go on and win this the way he’s been playing of late.
I backed him the last 2 weeks, then left him alone this week as I thought
the 6/1 looked too skinny. It looks bloody huge nowJuly 3, 2020 at 13:02 #1492542
BigG Wolf going okay so far for me today 4- he is
While Redman could been 1st round leader bet for me found out was 66/1 joint leader he wasJuly 3, 2020 at 16:55 #1492555
Wow Darren, your man Wolf is having the round of a lifetime
He’s 9 under for his round and leader at 12 under with a
couple to play. Yes pity you didn’t have Redman down in
the 1st round market, even though it was shared it would
still have been a nice return.
A few of mine have disappointed in the 1st round so they
need to get a move on. Hovland is out on the course, and
is on the march with a 5 under round with 1 to go. He’s
8 under, so he’ll need another good one on moving day.
Varner is in the same bracket, 4- today to get to 6
under with 1 to play, but he’s hit a peach to the par 3
18th so he should end on 7-.
Raymo your man Stuard had a good day, 5- for his round
and only 3 off the lead. He’s looking well in there at
90/1. Good luck mate
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