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greenasgrass.
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- March 11, 2020 at 09:22 #1485410
Two horse race.
Tiger Roll
could run 10 lbs below his best and still win this comfortably. Trouble is he’s had problems/injuries sinnce and may not now be capable of that form. 5th last time out/on reappearance – encouraging – but some way below even his peak hurdles form. That said, doubt they’d risk him if thought not up to winning this. Even with the doubts is imo deservedly odds-on. If known to be in A1 shape would be long odds-on.French Easyland has been in fine form in his native land. The only horse I can see with enough scope for improvement to get anywhere near Tigger.
I’ve backed Easyland 4/1 with a 5/6 saver on Tiger Roll…
The pair together imo must have a greater than 75% chance.
Value Is EverythingMarch 11, 2020 at 12:12 #1485452The going is HEAVY with fence number four being omitted. I can’t see much reason why a horse whose main target is the GN should be odds-on in today’s grueling conditions.
March 11, 2020 at 16:07 #1485530Struggling to think of another race that contains a previous favourite of the Grand National, Gold Cup and Champion Hurdle. It’s a fascinating race in that respect.
March 11, 2020 at 16:09 #1485531Backed the two D’Allier horses at 40s and 50s EW in the hopes of a place. Go Tiger!
March 11, 2020 at 16:09 #1485532Easysland 6-1 ew for this one.
March 11, 2020 at 16:11 #1485533That’s a question for any Racing quiz, Peter.
Which race of Cheltenham 2020 featured…?
Value Is EverythingMarch 11, 2020 at 16:23 #1485536Well done winners. People must have been out of their minds to back a horse at 8/11 who is just supposed to win a third Grand National. Nothing more….
March 11, 2020 at 16:23 #1485537Get in Easy!
March 11, 2020 at 16:25 #1485538Well done to the winner. Tiger Roll ran well on ground that did not suit. Hope he has not left Aintree behind.
So sad to see Might Bite in this race. How was a slog over 3m 6f on heavy ground going to suit him? Really hope they retire him because he looks completely out of love with it.
March 11, 2020 at 16:29 #1485539Tiger Roll beat the rest as easily as you’d have expected beforehand, Ex-Ruby. ie Probably ran somewhere near his form. So can’t see you can say people that backed him were “out of their minds”. Just that the unexposed Easysland found plenty of improvement… Like some of us thought he might.
Value Is EverythingMarch 11, 2020 at 16:33 #1485540As a def red backer I thought tiger had a hard enough race there ….we,ll see come April …if it’s in
March 11, 2020 at 16:35 #1485541tbh I think connections knew Might Bite was out of love with the game CAS, which is why they tried to rekindle enthusiasm over these unique fences. Can’t blame them – worth a try I suppose – but didn’t work and I agree it would be nice to see retirement now.
Value Is EverythingMarch 11, 2020 at 16:36 #1485542Ginge, if you think that 8/11 is a worthy price on heavy ground with the National as his main target and with no idea how fit he really is, then you have to be out of your mind or you have a money printing device at home.
March 11, 2020 at 16:50 #1485546Agree with ginger
Tiger has run the same race he ran last year
beat those horses a similar distance
March 11, 2020 at 16:54 #1485547He didn’t go into the winners enclosure , know that’s happened before bot hope he,s ok , some bookies going 10-1 …
March 11, 2020 at 17:02 #1485549Running Might Bite in this was “Worth a try”? I can’t agree in any way. An open goal to the antis, running Might Bite in that. If they don’t retire him then questions need to be asked.
While I’m here, Bolger’s been flogging Josie’s Orders for `eighteen months past that one’s prime, too.
Soured the meeting, for me, watching those two struggle.
March 11, 2020 at 17:09 #1485550Ex-Ruby, Tiger Roll was some way clear on ratings beforehand and could afford to be some way below his best and still win. Take the improved winner out of the race and Tigger actually beat the rest as easily as you might have expected. Had Tigger run well last time out and/or been certain to run to form then he’d have rightly been long odds-on. ie Price of 8/11 took in to consideration the liklihood of him being below form.
imo Tiger Roll was actually less than 10 lbs below his best today… and beforehand – unless something improved – form shown today would’ve been good enough to win with a little in hand… In other words had a better than 50% chance of winning and therefore every reason to be odds-on… But Easysland did improve.
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