The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Cross country 2020

Home Forums Archive Topics Cheltenham Archive Cheltenham 2020 Cross country 2020

Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 39 total)
  • Author
    Posts
  • #1485410
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34708

    Two horse race.
    Tiger Roll :heart: could run 10 lbs below his best and still win this comfortably. Trouble is he’s had problems/injuries sinnce and may not now be capable of that form. 5th last time out/on reappearance – encouraging – but some way below even his peak hurdles form. That said, doubt they’d risk him if thought not up to winning this. Even with the doubts is imo deservedly odds-on. If known to be in A1 shape would be long odds-on.

    French Easyland has been in fine form in his native land. The only horse I can see with enough scope for improvement to get anywhere near Tigger.

    I’ve backed Easyland 4/1 with a 5/6 saver on Tiger Roll…

    The pair together imo must have a greater than 75% chance. :mail:

    Value Is Everything
    #1485452
    Avatar photoEx RubyLight
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5256

    The going is HEAVY with fence number four being omitted. I can’t see much reason why a horse whose main target is the GN should be odds-on in today’s grueling conditions.

    #1485530
    Avatar photopeter .h
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1854

    Struggling to think of another race that contains a previous favourite of the Grand National, Gold Cup and Champion Hurdle. It’s a fascinating race in that respect.

    #1485531
    greenasgrass
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8771

    Backed the two D’Allier horses at 40s and 50s EW in the hopes of a place. Go Tiger!

    #1485532
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9219

    Easysland 6-1 ew for this one.

    #1485533
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34708

    That’s a question for any Racing quiz, Peter.

    Which race of Cheltenham 2020 featured…?

    Value Is Everything
    #1485536
    Avatar photoEx RubyLight
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5256

    Well done winners. People must have been out of their minds to back a horse at 8/11 who is just supposed to win a third Grand National. Nothing more….

    #1485537
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9219

    Get in Easy!

    #1485538
    Avatar photoCork All Star
    Participant
    • Total Posts 10993

    Well done to the winner. Tiger Roll ran well on ground that did not suit. Hope he has not left Aintree behind.

    So sad to see Might Bite in this race. How was a slog over 3m 6f on heavy ground going to suit him? Really hope they retire him because he looks completely out of love with it.

    #1485539
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34708

    Tiger Roll beat the rest as easily as you’d have expected beforehand, Ex-Ruby. ie Probably ran somewhere near his form. So can’t see you can say people that backed him were “out of their minds”. Just that the unexposed Easysland found plenty of improvement… Like some of us thought he might. ;-)

    Value Is Everything
    #1485540
    Avatar photoHe Didnt Like Ground
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7855

    As a def red backer I thought tiger had a hard enough race there ….we,ll see come April …if it’s in

    #1485541
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34708

    tbh I think connections knew Might Bite was out of love with the game CAS, which is why they tried to rekindle enthusiasm over these unique fences. Can’t blame them – worth a try I suppose – but didn’t work and I agree it would be nice to see retirement now. :good:

    Value Is Everything
    #1485542
    Avatar photoEx RubyLight
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5256

    Ginge, if you think that 8/11 is a worthy price on heavy ground with the National as his main target and with no idea how fit he really is, then you have to be out of your mind or you have a money printing device at home.

    #1485546
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    Agree with ginger

    Tiger has run the same race he ran last year

    beat those horses a similar distance

    #1485547
    Avatar photoHe Didnt Like Ground
    Participant
    • Total Posts 7855

    He didn’t go into the winners enclosure , know that’s happened before bot hope he,s ok , some bookies going 10-1 …

    #1485549
    Avatar photoQuelle Farce
    Participant
    • Total Posts 899

    Running Might Bite in this was “Worth a try”? I can’t agree in any way. An open goal to the antis, running Might Bite in that. If they don’t retire him then questions need to be asked.

    While I’m here, Bolger’s been flogging Josie’s Orders for `eighteen months past that one’s prime, too.

    Soured the meeting, for me, watching those two struggle.

    #1485550
    Avatar photoGingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 34708

    Ex-Ruby, Tiger Roll was some way clear on ratings beforehand and could afford to be some way below his best and still win. Take the improved winner out of the race and Tigger actually beat the rest as easily as you might have expected. Had Tigger run well last time out and/or been certain to run to form then he’d have rightly been long odds-on. ie Price of 8/11 took in to consideration the liklihood of him being below form.

    imo Tiger Roll was actually less than 10 lbs below his best today… and beforehand – unless something improved – form shown today would’ve been good enough to win with a little in hand… In other words had a better than 50% chance of winning and therefore every reason to be odds-on… But Easysland did improve.

    Value Is Everything
Viewing 17 posts - 18 through 34 (of 39 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.