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Champagne platinum 33/1
Was plotted at the kim muir last season but didn’t stay and wasnt the best jumper of a fence, looks like he will be staying over hurdles this season and this should hopefully be the aim
If he does turn up can see him going off a single figure price, potentially goes off a well backed fav even
Entered in the lanzarote this weekend after an eye catching run on reappearance at Newbury
Hes off 138 currently which may just sneak him in going by last years race so they may want to get him up a pound or two to guarantee his place.
Nice price ff, but what makes him well handicapped? I know Nicky has claimed he’ll be “Very good” in the past, but then he’d class a 100 handicapper as “potentially very good”.
Twitter: Jackh1092
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!Put him up earlier in the year for this, it certainly looks the obvious race for him. Failing that, there’s always The Martin Pipe, but that wouldn’t be a race that Henderson seems to target.
I took the 25’s Win Any Race with Hills, with this race in mind, and I’m sure I remember it being a bit of a “rick”, as Hills had him around 20’s for this.
Makes more sense now that they’ve pushed him out to 33’s, but I’m just a bit concerned that it’s too big, but I topped up to the 33’s anyway, despite this fear.
He’s my second biggest AP bet for The Festival at the moment, so really wasn’t keen on topping up, but I did anyway, as this race just feels right for him.
I’ve bet him for The Lanzarote too.
Champagne Platinum 33’s
I’d usually like to have two or three in this, and Bachasson was near the top of the list, but he didn’t do his mark any favours last week at Punchestown, and he’s not quoted anyway.
McFabulous is capable of winning this off his current 154, but should he win The Relkeel, that would be a concern. The 33’s is tempting though.
The other pair I like are Thosedaysaregone 25’s, and Column of Fire 20’s.
I’ll almost certainly bet Thosedaysaregone if there’s the least hint he’s going here.
His last 2 runs make him well handicapped Jack
In the kim muir he jumped poorly, didnt look like falling but was very slow from A to B at most of the fences
But still cruised into the race at 3 out after being held up last. His effort flattened out in the straight after 2 more slow jumps and his stamina running out.
All things considered a huge run that hints hes got a good few lbs up his sleeve, he was a well backed fav too suggesting the yard feel similar.
Then at Newbury back Over hurdles id say he was given a pretty gentle ride by Nico.
Very keen early in the race, but still travelled into the race on the bridle and was never really asked for a full effort finishing a mark protecting third.
An end to end gallop on the application of money should hopefully see him in a better light. His sp of 8/1 at Newbury suggested that wasnt the day and it was just a prep after an absence.
10/1 for the lanzarote and 33/1 for this will do me nicely.
Had a few bets on Benson now to win any race, with half an eye on him for this.
Was hard to see from the replay what went astray in the 3rd quarter of the race last time. He looked to be cruising out the back and then he came into view he was a furlong behind. Jumped horrendously to the left at a few which might explain it.
Anyhow, he must of been the eye catcher of the year that day and if it was run over a couple of furlongs more he could well of ended up winning by a furlong. Could be a seriously well handicapped horse if they sort his quirks out.
I’d agree with the horse Botchy, but possibly not the race. Think the 2 mile 1 furlong on the new course for the County may be perfect.
Massive Benson fan though, backed him for Ascot and doubled down on him in the notebook that day.
EDIT: Was also happy to see him not amongst the Betfair Hurdle entries. Looks like they have an eye on the festival and want to protect his mark
Picking the race is a tricky one all right Tom, would easily get in the Martin Pipe also. Down to 12’s in a place overnight for this now so 22’s Boosted with Hills TWAR looks the call, that won’t last long you would think.
Bear Ghylls will probably go to the Ballymore, but if went here I would certainly back him. He won comfortably over 2m3f of 130 at Exeter today. Probably go up to the high 130s of 140, but he seems to have more in hand.
I reckon Solo is getting primed for something, and don’t see why he couldn’t figure here.
Thought it easier though to cover him “any race” at 25’s.
A race I absolutely love and the following have made my shortlist:
Column Of Fire (25) – This may not age well but I think he goes here over a strong looking Pertemps and although he is going to be one of the top weights in the race, I think he will be very difficult to beat. Intrigued to see him this Saturday with a claimer on board but won’t be disheartened if he is using this is a prep run.
On The Blindside (27 Boost with WH) – Henderson running him twice in 7 days isn’t ideal as it has shot his mark to absolute bits and he will be a top weight if he goes here. He is having his best season and may not go here as he has been running over further and NH has a strong hand for this race but I think this could be his one chance at a Festival win.
Flash The Steel (20) – Impressive when beating Amour De Nuit (Carrying 11:11) who finished 3rd behind Boreham Bill recently and a fall before that has left him a little bit under the radar. Meet’s a lot of the key trends for this race and hopefully goes here.
Race is a bit of a lottery but that’s the fun in AP betting
Black Tears ran second last year and is clearly being readied for another crack. Her form in big fields is superb. I can’t understand why she is so big at 40/1? My biggest bet so far for the Festival, each way.
Benson is another one on the shortlist. Not pulled the trigger yet though as not 100% certain he’ll run here or the County. Similar comments apply to Canardier. Immediately penned him for this when taking a fall at the last last year. Not been seen since though and 20/1 seems a bit stingy too.
Welcome to TRF MightBite21.
I think your Column of Fire bet could age very well. He’s clearly a big target horse of theirs, and I’ll be with him wherever he ends up. Tempted to back him for this, and he’s the only other one left from my early shortlist I put up, as Bachasson and McFabulous surely won’t go, and Thosedaysaregone is away on a six month summer holiday with his trainer.
I’m tempted to bet him for this just now, as the 25’s is decent, to go with Champagne Platinum, but my Antepost money went on The Pertemps. It looks like one or the other. All part of “the game”.
Let’s hope he runs well today first of all. Good luck
Definitely a race now where I’ll wait until the entry stage for any additions, but I was very impressed with Navajo Pass last week, and the trip here will pose no problems. The 33’s with BetVic looks fair, even with his increased mark.
Hoping to see a big run from Champagne Platinum this weekend, and a similar effort to last time would be good.
Considering Koshsri as well, after an eyecatching run yesterday. He’s a very obvious one, but 14’s with NRNB looks ok.
Surely you wouldn’t want to see too big a run this weekend from Champagne Platinum? 5 weeks out mixed with 3 miles in tough ground could take a bit out of him.
This race is getting harder and harder to predict. I still like Column Of Fire after an eye catching bad ride with the 7lb claimer on board. Only dropped 1lb which will have annoyed a few in the Elliott camp. Thankfully not entered into the Pertemps at Exeter on Sunday but there are still two more qualifiers but I just cant see it. On The Blind Side probably isn’t going here after being entered in the Cleeve Hurdle. One I do like is TakeYourTime’s pick in Black Tears and have followed that bet but only got 33’s.
Only other one I would add is Blue Lord I really liked him for the Supreme or Ballymore. Far too keen in his first effort over 2 1/2M but finished very strongly at the DRF over 2M so he may go to the County but his new mark of 142 looks workable and think he would have a chance here if Mr Mullins decides he is too good to chase home Appreciate it or Gaillard Du Mesnil. Waiting for a price from Skybet but he may be my last punt in the race.
The joys of predicting the handicaps!
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