Computer Based System

[JAR]

There are several computer based rating systems on the market. I’ve noticed *******,******,*****,********,********,*******,******** – to name a few on the net.<br>I assume these systems make a small profit at least otherwise we are being robbed by commercial salesmen.

If one of these methods of analysis by computer is incorporated into a system, then it may make a larger profit.

(Edited by JAR at 9:51 am on Mar. 7, 2003)<br>

(Edited by JAR at 8:20 pm on May 21, 2003)

[JAR]

(Edited by JAR at 9:53 am on Mar. 7, 2003)

[JAR]

(Edited by JAR at 9:54 am on Mar. 7, 2003)

[JAR]

(Edited by JAR at 9:55 am on Mar. 7, 2003)

[LookingForAWinner]

John,

What computer system have you used to provide the initial selections?

Have you evaluated any others, and if so, can you post your views?

Looking For A Winner.

[JAR]

Hi Lookingforawinner

PS  I’ve since revised my opinion of computer programs. <br>Because I think such programs are rubbish I have removed references to the programs from my postings on this forum.  In order not to cause offence.  Just because I think they are rubbish does not mean that someone else may not think otherwise.

I still like playing with the programs to see if a combination of a computer program and a system can make a profit.

John

(Edited by JAR at 12:59 pm on Sep. 2, 2003)

[JAR]

(Edited by JAR at 9:57 am on Mar. 7, 2003)

[JAR]

(Edited by JAR at 10:59 am on April 17, 2003)

[Matron]

Keep at JAR .

I am sure your hard work will repay you.

Regards – Matron<br>:cool:

[JAR]

Thanks Matron

(Edited by JAR at 10:01 am on Mar. 7, 2003)

[LookingForAWinner]

John,

Have you discovered any factors that lead to your wins, and those that lead to losses?

Do the computer systems you use specialise in particular race types?

Many moons ago, I purchased the Brimardon system, well before the prices were hiked up.  The software asked particular questions depending on the race type.  For example, for hurdles, one question was for races over 2m6f.

I imagine each system is stronger for some race types and conditions than others.  It might be worthwhile keeping a log of the selections made, and the conditions of the race.  After a suitable review period, you might be able to spot the systems strength.  Based on these findings, you should add value by applying some external logic such as Spotform’s selections for PostData’s ticks.  There is always your gut feel too, which you should also document.

Without keeping a history I would keep making the same mistakes each year, or cycle of years.  I am re-reading all the books I have purchased, and notes I have taken.  Hopefully, profit is on the horizon!

Best of luck,

Looking For A Winner.

[JAR]

Hi Lookingforawinner.

The only factor so far I have discovered, that has remained a constant factor, is that using one computer program for selections at forecast odds shorter than 5/2 and the other program for selections at odds longer than 5/2 – I get a better return than using either computer program on its own.

As far as gut feelings go, I think I’ve got a layers gut whenever I think a horse will win it loses:o

I also think the weather has a big influence on the predictive success of a computer program. I get much better results when the weather is fine than when it is changeable or rainy.

Cheers – May the luck be with us.<br>:)

[JAR]

Selections

*******************************<br>*******************************

I’ve a feeling this is not very promising. I WILL scrap this idea and start again. ) 

(Edited by JAR at 10:04 am on Mar. 7, 2003)

[LookingForAWinner]

John,

Form is more consistent if the weather remains unchanged.  But the bookies know this too, so the prices tend to be depressed.  Perhaps the seasons are a factor, with some months being more profitable than others.

Looking For A Winner.

[JAR]

Hi LookingForaWinner,

You pays your money and takes your choice.  I prefer to have more certain results even if the odds are shorter.<br>The exception being if a well-known mudlark is running on a rainy day.  Trouble is then everyone knows this and the odds are shorter anyway.

I am still on a learning curve with regards to betting. I find it easy to pick winners but getting value without long losing runs is difficult.

I have neither the spare cash nor the time to use all the sources of information I would like to have at my disposal. <br>Finding value using just a daily newspaper and the internet pages is difficult.  Poor weather for me would make this harder. When picking horses the bookie offers at longer odds,  you need to be sure the selections are profitable in the long-run.<br>Cheers<br>:)

[JAR]

(Edited by JAR at 8:16 pm on May 21, 2003)

[JAR]

Selections for 13th Feb

Starting Bank = 200

Southwell 1.50    ScaryNight    Lost     -10<br>Sandown  3.45    Pentanque   Lost      -10<br>                                                                    Bank = 180

(Edited by JAR at 4:09 pm on Feb. 13, 2003)

[Author]

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