BIORHYTHMS in racing

[Alexander]

Friday interest: Here is the first race today rated as per Bios.
Sire De Grugy is in an optimum state and should make a good showing whilst seeking for a 4 timer following wins 1st Jan (RRR, N) , 1st Feb (RRR,P) & 26th Feb (FRR,P).

Friday April 8 2011
Aintree 14:00
John Smith’s Top Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2)

Sire De Grugy (FR) 41 21/06/2006 OP

First In The Queue (IRE) 33 09/03/2007 P

A Media Luz (FR) 21 16/04/2007 N
Desert Cry (IRE) 34 18/03/2006 N
Topolski (IRE) 19 08/04/2006 N
Brampour (IRE) 21 09/05/2007 N
Oilily (IRE) 154 16/04/2003 N
Alarazi (IRE) 21 11/04/2004 C
Perfect Smile (IRE) 100 07/05/2005 C
Polisky (FR) 48 05/03/2007 C
Iolith (GER) 45 16/01/2005 L
Maggio (FR) 40 29/03/2005 L
Andhaar 70 27/01/2006 C&L

[Alexander]

Saturday Interest: First race finds outsider Drive Time in a positive state, so it will be interesting to see how this one shapes prior to the main event with our National pick Oscar Time.
(I don’t advise backing Drive Time but keep an eye on its performance).

Saturday April 9 2011
Aintree 13:45
John Smith’s Mersey Novices’ Hurdle (Grade 2)

Drive Time (USA) 11/04/2005 P
Cue Card 30/04/2006 P
Sam Winner (FR) 07/02/2007 P
Rock On Ruby (IRE) 11/05/2005 P
Maringo Bay (IRE) 16/03/2005 P
Spirit Son (FR) 04/03/2006 C
Bold Sir Brian (IRE) 13/05/2006 C
Storm Brig 29/04/2005 C
Drill Sergeant 28/03/2005 L

—————–
The second race on the card (notwithstanding an early charity race) has rank outsider and 500/1 chance Classic Fly finding himself in a positive state. Again it will be interesting as a watching brief. Dan Breen is deemed to be in a somewhat critical state and although above the rest on form, could be error prone ?

Saturday April 9 2011
Aintree 14:15
John Smith’s Maghull Novices’ Chase (Grade 1)

Classic Fly (FR) 16/02/2003 P
Dan Breen (IRE) 04/03/2005 C
Finian’s Rainbow (IRE) 29/05/2003 C
Ghizao (GER) 23/04/2004 L
Gilbarry (IRE) 16/02/2005 N
Romanesco (FR) 05/03/2005 N
Starluck (IRE) 21/03/2005 L
——————-
The 3rd race finds Peddlers Cross in a low state today and with the strong opposition I shall be laying this one today !

Saturday April 9 2011
Aintree 14:50
John Smith’s Aintree Hurdle (Grade 1)

Oscar Whisky (IRE) 10/02/2005 OP
Celestial Halo (IRE) 07/05/2004 OP
Binocular (FR) 17/03/2004 P
Thousand Stars (FR) 17/03/2004 P
Oscar Dan Dan (IRE) 03/06/2002 C
Peddlers Cross (IRE) 29/03/2005 L
Ronaldo Des Mottes (FR) 01/03/2005 L
Salden Licht 18/04/2004 LC
———————–

Postscript to above
Outsiders Drive Time & Classic Fly assigned the positive handle met the same fate of falling whilst both being close up in the early stages of their respective races managed to crash out. Perhaps these runners in good states were overeaching their abilities – they were not deemed in critical states but it is likely that poor runners in good states are prone to such fates ?

[Alexander]

Aintree meeting was not unkind to the bios with Fridays results almost without exception proving accurate to the positive states for the winners. Oscar Time was not disgraced in the National, so its onward and upward.

Looking ahead to Sunday: Jubail is in an optimum positive cycle and looks value in this youngster event. Won well 17th Oct but the bios did not match to the performance on that occasion. From Sunday’s positive, perhaps this gelding’s run could be impressive.

Sunday April 10 2011
Ascot 15:10
David Austin Roses Juvenile Handicap Hurdle
2m

6 Jubail (IRE) 17/02/2007 ( OP )

2 Architrave 10/05/2007 ( P )
1 Pullyourfingerout (IRE) 27/03/2007 ( L )
4 Dhaafer 22/04/2007 ( L )
5 Ultravox (USA) 03/03/2007 ( L )
7 Rock Of Deauville (IRE) 27/01/2007 ( Lc )
3 Whitby Jack 26/01/2007 ( L )
8 Gulf Punch 23/01/2007 ( L )

[Alexander]

Looking to Monday: She’s Humble is forecast as favourite and as such makes appeal to LAY. She was in a favourable set of cycles on her latest winning run 28th March, however although most of this field are also in negative states tomorrow, Mister Matt and Health is Wealth make more appeal with their positive cycles.

Monday April 11 2011
Plumpton 16:20
Heart Handicap Chase
1 Mister Matt (IRE) 16/04/2003 RRF (P)
5 Health Is Wealth (IRE) 11/03/2005 FFF (NP)
3 She’s Humble (IRE) 28/02/2002 RRR (L)
4 Meneur (FR) 04/04/2002 RFR (L)
2 Bushwacker (IRE) 30/04/2004 FFR (L)
———————–

[Alexander]

Good racing today for a mid week: Lets see if this fillies race measures up regarding the bios. Ladies Are Forever looks attractive (OP), whilst favourite, Sing Softly (L)is now in a negative state. Earlier recent runs for Sing Softly, namely 20th March (N) & 3rd April (OP) both were wins in good cycles. That period has now gone.
Last Year Music Show won this race by 8 lengths. Interestingly, the bios were in a positive but critical state. I remember Authorized winning the Derby a few years back in exactly the same set of cycles.
Anyway, back to the present. Here is an acid test for the bios !

Wednesday April 13 2011
Newmarket 16:10
Lanwades Stud Nell Gwyn Stakes (Fillies’ Group 3)

5 (7) Ladies Are Forever 193 06/05/2008

FRF%(0P)

11 (1) Sweet Cecily (IRE) 166 15/03/2008 RRR%(P)
3 (5) Crying Lightening (IRE) 34 11/04/2008 FRR%(N)
1 (2) Maqaasid 194 21/01/2008 RRF%
8 (3) Show Rainbow 170 19/02/2008 RRR%
4 (10) Elshabakiya (IRE) 18 25/01/2008 RRF-%
2 (11) Barefoot Lady (IRE) 186 18/03/2008 RRR%
6 (4) Lily Again 172 26/02/2008 FRF-%
7 (6) Qushchi 165 15/04/2008 FR?%(C)
10 (8) Strictly Pink (IRE) 8 30/04/2008 RFF-%(C)
9 (9) Sing Softly (USA) 10 27/03/2008 FFF-%(L)

[Alexander]

Looking at Newmarket’s Earl Of Sefton Stakes today:
Elusive Pimpernel as the vote with a very favourable set of cycles. In fact in this seven runner affair none are totally disadvantaged; by virtue of each moving towards better states
the majority are assigned as neutral (N)

Thursday April 14 2011
Newmarket 16:45
Weatherbys Earl Of Sefton Stakes (Group 3)
4 (2) Elusive Pimpernel (USA) 14/02/2007 RHRHRH (OP)
7 (8) Ransom Note 20/02/2007 RLRHRL (P)
1 (9) Polytechnicien (USA) 04/06/2006 RHFHRL (N)
3 (3) Bullet Train 28/01/2007 RLRLFL (N)
5 (4) Forte Dei Marmi 30/03/2006 RHRLRL (N)
8 (6) Steele Tango (USA) 03/03/2005 RLRLRL (N)
9 (7) World Heritage 27/03/2006 RHRLRL (N)

[Alexander]

We are off to Newbury today looking at a fairly valueable handicap.

Friday April 15 2011
Newbury 16:55
Dubai Duty Free Double Millionaire Handicap
11 (11) Courageous (IRE) 18/03/2006 FLRHRH (P)
2 (1) Rain Delayed (IRE) 21/03/2006 FLRHRH (P)
5 (6) Cheveton 160 29/01/2004 FLRHRL© (N)
4 (9) Moorhouse Lad 181 17/02/2003 FLFLFH (N)
6 (12) Noverre To Go (IRE) 146 07/05/2006 FHFHFL (N)
9 (7) Five Star Junior (USA) 9 10/04/2006 FLFHFH© (N)
13 (10) Capercaillie (USA) 15 16/04/2007 FLRHRH© (N)
1 (5) Noble Storm (USA) 161 31/03/2006 RLRLRL (L)
3 (8) Secret Asset (IRE) 9 27/04/2005 RLRLRH (L)
10 (2) Captain Carey 251 26/02/2006 FLFHFL (L)
8 (4) Run For The Hills 146 13/04/2006 FLFHFH© (L)
7 (13) Striking Spirit 209 08/04/2005 FLFHFL (L)
12 (3) Sohraab 199 05/03/2004 RLRLFL (L)

[Alexander]

Scottish National with a few unlikely candidates being thrown up by the bios. Ozbeck being the stand out amongst these.

Saturday April 16 2011
Ayr 15:25
Coral Scottish Grand National Handicap Chase (Grade 3)
4

Ouzbeck

(FR) 21 21/02/2002 RHFHRH P
14 Roll Along (IRE) 56 20/05/2000 RHRHFL P
29 Silent Cliche (IRE) 20 20/03/2004 FHRHRH P
1 Neptune Collonges (FR) 29 25/04/2001 FHRHFH
2 Blazing Bailey 32 15/02/2002 FLFLFH
3 Chicago Grey (IRE) 31 06/03/2003 FHFHFH
5 Beshabar (IRE) 31 10/04/2002 RHFLRL
6 Minella Four Star (IRE) 28 16/05/2003 RLRHFL
7 The Minack (IRE) 56 02/06/2004 RHFLRH
9 That’s Rhythm (FR) 7 14/02/2000 FHFLFL
10 Always Right (IRE) 42 15/04/2002 RLFHFL
11 Be There In Five (IRE) 31 09/02/2004 RRFLFH
12 Poker De Sivola (FR) 32 01/04/2003 FLRLRO
13 Gansey (IRE) 8 18/03/2002 RHFHFH
15 Gone To Lunch (IRE) 29 20/04/2000 FHFHFL
16 Ballyfitz 28 27/05/2000 RHROFH
17 Merigo (FR) 42 28/02/2001 RHFHFH
18 Regal Heights (IRE) 42 16/04/2001 RLFHFL
19 Fredo (IRE) 30 06/04/2004 FLFHFL
20 Heez A Steel (IRE) 36 23/05/2001 FLFLRL
21 Iris De Balme (FR) 392 14/04/2000 RHRHFL
22 Neptune Equester 56 30/05/2003 RHRLRH
23 Lothian Falcon 42 16/05/1999 RHFHRL
24 No Panic (IRE) 32 14/04/2003 RHFHFL
25 Cold Mountain (IRE) 18 29/01/2002 RHRHRL
26 Morgan Be 20 05/03/2000 FHRLRO
27 Long Strand (IRE) 23 10/04/2004 FHFOFL
30 Hot ‘n’ Holy 26 20/06/1999 RLRHRL

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