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Betfair Exchange Trophy 2019

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  • #1476519
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15976

    Entries out……

    https://myemail.constantcontact.com/Epatante-the-10-1-favourite-as-47-entered-for-Betfair-Exchange-Trophy-at-Ascot-on-December-21.html?soid=1110108263682&aid=fv-xxRrDMrE

    Very tough race to call this, as always an extremely competitive affair.

    Epatante looks the standout at this early stage, but think she might be in the frame for some Graded Races as well, as there’s surely a lot more to come.

    She still makes the shortlist though, along with a few others.

    Gumball keeps delivering, and with Ben Jones in such good form, assuming he’d get the gig again, then he has to be considered.

    Last year’s winner Mohaayed is interesting at 20’s, as is the Nicholls pair, Birds of Prey and Scaramanga, both at 25’s.

    I’m still keeping an eye on the Sophie Leech duo, Grapevine and Man Of Plenty, and of either are declared, I would certainly consider them at a price as well.

    Too early for a bet though.

    Shortlist
    Birds of Prey
    Epatante
    Gumball
    Mohaayed
    Scaramanga

    #1476544
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15976
    #1476962
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15976

    I’ve went with one here, and close to a couple, though obviously not going mad, the best part of a fortnight before.

    I’m favouring Gumball for Cheltenham, so in the same ownership, Elixir Du Nutz at 16’s, looks very tempting. He also gets an entry for The International, but the 8’s there, suggests that this might just be the plan. Very risky with other entry, but I’ll take the 16’s, with a view to laying off nearer the time, as if he does actually go here, I’d expect him to be much shorter.

    Last year’s winner Mohaayed is just too big at 33’s off of the same mark, so I’ll keep an eye on him, but very close to taking that.

    From the original shortlist, Scaramanga has since won, but his entry for Cheltenham is a concern.

    Blazer and Protektorat also starting to appeal too.

    Elixir Du Nutz 16’s

    #1476976
    Avatar photoKevMc
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1326

    That’s a very good price about EDN, have taken some of that myself.

    #1476981
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15976

    Certainly is Kev, just got to get him there now. I’ll no be convinced until he isn’t declared for The International.

    I’m definitely going to watch the market regularly for Blazer.

    #1477053
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
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    • Total Posts 15976

    Think it pays to be wary with these things, and Tizzard eyeing Cheltenham now if the weather is right, so I’ve laid off for a small loss. Wasn’t a massive bet anyway with those doubts, but still, I’m happier being back to square one.

    #1477447
    Avatar photoVenture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 15976

    Straightforward call for me now, and I’m happy stick with Mohaayed.

    I was hoping for bigger than 16’s, to top up the 33’s, but I’ll be very disappointed and surprised if he doesn’t run now.

    Mohaayed 25’s and 33’s EW 5 Places
    Mohaayed 16’s

    #1477488
    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 9228

    I’m staying loyal to Quoi de Neuf 6-1 after backing him last time.

    #1477491
    Avatar photojackh1092
    Participant
    • Total Posts 3923

    I was looking at Tamaroc Du Mathan for this on Sunday, he was 25s, then Cobden is jocked and he’s generally single figures, mad!

    Ran a pleasing UK debut. However, i’ll wait and see what the market does.

    Mohaayed won this race last year off the same mark. Could be another.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1477494
    Avatar photobotchy1
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6517

    I thought Protektorat was the Skelton one for this but he is a NR now, surprised by that like.

    Maybe a good sign for Mohaayed’s chances so gone for him. Surprised how quickly he has come down in the weights and found it strange that they left off the cheekpieces last time. It did look a very good race a couple of weeks ago, but looks like lasy years was stronger now.

    #1477497
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    Wouldve been a quick turn out for protektorat after running on the 7th

    #1477548
    FinalFurlong91
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6657

    Umbrigado 7/1

    Absolutely tanked through the race last time, but didnt stay the trip

    Dropped from 3 miles to 2 miles, but the heavy ground and long straight at ascot should make it enough of a stamina test for him

    #1477648
    Ray1891
    Participant
    • Total Posts 119

    I’m backing TAMAROC DU MATHAN for this, MASTER DEBONAIR is looking really solid now and he didn’t run a bad race behind him last time out, would of come on for that aswell!

    #1477672
    Avatar photoEx RubyLight
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5275

    Turnpike Trip at 14s right now looks very interesting in my opinion. He was fourth in the Royal Bond last time out and how many times do you see a runner from that race trying his luck in such a competitive open handicap? Charles Byrnes is very shrewd and he shouldn’t come over for a run down the field.

    #1477693
    greenasgrass
    Participant
    • Total Posts 8780

    He’s a very decent horse ex RL, and I had the same thought about the canny trainer, good luck with him.

    #1477711
    Avatar photoDBRDBR
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1276

    Very competitive handicap. I’ve come down to Mohaayed and Turnpike Trip. Mohaayed has run some disappointing races, but he is back to his last winning mark and acts on this ground and course. He even won this race last year. Turnpike Trip is a bit of guess, but won same decent hurdle races in Ireland before finishing fourth in the Royal Bond, only a few lengts behind Envoi Allen and Abacadabras. If they are really as good as they say, then Turnpike Trip should be competitive here.

    Mohaayed 18/1 EW
    Turnpike Trip 18/1 EW

    #1477740
    Avatar photoSteeplechasing
    Participant
    • Total Posts 6264

    I’ve always had the notion that Monsieur Le Coq might be better right handed. Backed him EW at 10/1 to 6 places.

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