I’m using a simple method to crack these big handicaps which used to be a mystery to me. Just knock out any horses that haven’t won at least once in their last 3 races. Doesn’t work every time, but it eliminates a lot of the deadwood. In this case it reduced the field down to 9* I was interested in including the first two both at 28/1. Used speed figures to shorten the list to a manageable level.
*Ended up as 8 since Air Raid was a non-runner.
Blank from 5 qualifiers in the Silver Cup, but in the Bronze Cup yesterday Music Society at 20/1 from 6 runners.
Not a race I normally have on my radar this one but it definitely is now after that. Angel Alexander actually covered all those trends except the note on the top 3 highest numbered drawn.
One missed for this year maybe but will keep this firmly in mind for next year.
What I like about the trends is the strength of the one looking for improving horses rather than well handicapped horses. Not often I’ve come across such a strong trend like that in a Heritage Handicap.
I just wish that Growl ran straight and followed Major Jumbo on that side of the track instead of losing many lengths by tracking over to the other side group. Surely he would have won had he have done that.
The winner deserved it as the jockey and connections were brave and ran straight but I cant help but think of what could have been had Growl done the same.