- This topic has 477 replies, 5 voices, and was last updated 2 years ago by
.
- Posts
Wolverhampton 2030
David Evans runs
ULTRAMARINE
Each way
Off top weight and using several aspects of physics has an outstanding chance here.
Top weight can go very close here have suffered interference latest and was a beaten favourite when expecting to do much better. No suprise to see better here with everything in horses favour.Wolverhampton 5pm
Red walls
Win
escapes a penalty for win last week at Southwell and should go very close especially as unpenalised and claimer removes half a stone. So the weight advantage goes into double figures. problem is, in 72 runs this horse has yet to win back to back. Has been 2nd back to back twice and won’t get a better chance here.Monitola
Each way
Ex Ger Lyons and raced over a variety of trips in Ireland 🇮🇪. Lowest career mark here and good jockey on board. Still a maiden but remains versatile and unexposed.
Draw data horse
Coast
Each way
Ran a stunner to make all recently and hovering in the right place since no suprise if went well from this draw.Newcastle 1600
Cosmo raj
And
Cusack
Both win
Cosmo raj the top weight and lower down the scale Cusack cover both aspects of the physics here.
Cusack has a case to make here and has dropped to a winnable mark.A small reverse forecast is also tried here. The draw data should also kick in here too and it averages out nicely for both horses 🐎.
Newcastle 1730
Scottish Summit
each way
old timer on a winnable mark
JAHADIN
WIN
win
cheap (4k) french purchase who is 2/2 and defied a 200 day lay off to win here latest.
Newcastle 1900
The Caltonian
win
was very unlucky to run into David Evans’ ultramarine last time and just failed to get back up. Drops in trip here.
Draw data runner isWASDALE
Each way
Cosmo raj
Gained a first all weather win and with cusack following him home landed a win and the forecast.
The caltonian franked the ultramarine form too.
The laws of physics applied in cusack’s and cosmo rajs case.
Scottish summit today and Coast yesterday both nice priced each way runners.Plenty of winners of late. Hopefully keep the run going.
Wolverhampton 1540
Three horses to consider two to back….here’s hoping the third horse doesn’t score!!! (But he does qualify)
VERONA STAR ⭐️
win( draw data last year’s winning stall)
AWESOME SPIRIT
Each way
Verona Star
On his second run for new yard today. Kept out the back in eye catching fashion, held up and ate up the yards to beat four rivals at the end. That was in a class four off a 60 day break. The movement at the end looked significant to me. His previous return off a long break was over ten times the length 615 days. This followed a debut win under Hollie Doyle for Archie Watson in a class four. Despite the lay off, he managed a very good second on return. Which again suggests he was tenderly ridden latest and visual evidence backs that up. Anyway he now drops massively in class and won his only race pretty much hands and heels as well with barely a reminder on the run in from Hollie Doyle. The same jockey saw him off on last run for yard and to me this one looks prepped for what could turn out to be a routine task after a pipe opening debut. Disregard the opening run as Verona star was held up and never put into the race. This is the first run proper for new yard dropped into class six for first time ever and has an 8 pounds claimer on board who has enjoyed a first win recently.
Awesome Spirit
has bottom weight crucially here and has the lowest draw commensurate to weight too. That won’t have been lost on trainer micheal Appleby at all and many perceive these hands and heels apprentice jockey affairs as a liability, but like bumpers they are necessary on “the learning curve “ but fully exploitable. The favourite could as well bolt up given the advantage he held at the end of his race latest and that confidence may well stand to him here.
Awesome star runs here in this low level affair off a career low mark having started out handicapping over twelve pounds higher for Micheal Callaghan over in Ireland 🇮🇪 and his connections probably dreamt of selling him over to Hong Kong and him being ridden by a high class race at Happy Valley, not as bottom weight in a class six hands and heels at Wolverhampton on a Saturday afternoon….I hold a lot of stall on draw data as it’s my own system and although stall two won this race last year, my actual draw data horse is
Finn Russell
was on a hat trick two runs back here and ran fifth and then fifth again actually sits ten pounds under his debut handicap mark today and actually ticks a whole lot of boxes… I can’t back them all and while I’d rather he didn’t find his feet here but the two latest runs have not reflected the ability.
Frustrating at times but with a glass half full approach it is a winner!!
Wolverhampton 1745
Baldermo
win
gone close the last four times two of them in class two’s.
Top weight here and has the stall one draw. Rating stays on 90 for the fourth consecutive run. Drops in class and a short head and a neck behind in the higher grade suggests more improvement to eke out here. Jockey’s five pound claim should clinch things here.
Everything in this horse’s favour now the rating, class, draw and form and if he meets one too good, so be it. But it is his to lose.
Baldermo
Seconditus hits again. Definitely running to form.Wolverhampton 1915
ISLE OF WOLVES
Win
TAXXING
Each way
The top weight qualifies as the draw data horse and under rules of physics.
The interesting runner here has shown absolutely nothing and some very poor performances has seen his mark tumble to a winnable level
Andrew Slattery sends the perfect Irish ☘️ job to David Evans and although not greatly drawn improvement is almost inevitable here on all known showings and connections haven’t purchased a horse and shipped it over because it is crap.Wolverhampton 1930
Rogue Rosie
win
fast finishing last time once the penny dropped and with a massive pull at the weights a similar display over rival may well be enough to land this race if repeating that run.
Sir mark prescott lurks here with handicap debutante
RISHI
Win
A step down in trip intriguingWolverhampton 2030
Night at sea
Starfighter
both win
nas unexposed and lots of scope.
sftr has winning jockey on board.
Sir Lawrence graff
each way
a class four winner off a mark of 85 on handicap debut and yet never raced off a higher mark. Left John Gosden straight away and feasibly well treated off this low mark and out of Galileo bred to get this first time trip
No serious picks as yet from the day night card at Newcastle, but a quick look at the stable switchers shows
Stormy Pearl 19:40 Newcastle Menzies, Rebecca Thompson, D W 11% 9%
Golden Rainbow 19:40 Newcastle Midgley, P T Menzies, Rebecca 8% 11%
Having their first runs later on.
Stable switchers have been worth their weight in gold for sometime now and David Evans hit the jackpot with a horse that had never before officially raced on the flat but had run twice in bumpers in Ireland. A right old touch landed by my favourite yard at 150/1. Was I on ? Nope 👎 as I hadn’t read the card.would I have been on? I hope so and the prep of two bumpers and a withdrawal would have hit my sensors.
Hopefully a winner from the remaining races this evening all being well.Newcastle 1840
The draw data puts Richard Faheys runner right in the frame 🖼.
True Nation
Each wayAtrafan
Win
Atrafan is a standing dish in this type of contest and with six course wins is hard to overlook even aged ten.Newcastle 1940
draw data
The princes poet
each way
CHOOKIE DUNEDIN
Each way
both have strong claims with the princes poets racing here in a class six for first time having contested fours and fives here in the past
Back to normals and a night meeting on a Sunday is a mysterious addition.
Wolverhampton 1830
Hartswood
Each way
SUMMO PETRA
COSMO RAJ
Both win
Cosmo raj
Turns out ten days after winning and has backed up a win before and has a good chance here.
Micheal Appleby continues in a good vien too and Summo Petra has had one run for yard and looks well treated. Fahey has farmed these races this winter and his runner has been well backed hereSmokey mountain was always going to win here. The price was prohibitive given that he hit every closed door in running on handicap debut. The collaborative form was with Dutch kingdom strong enough for an each way recommendation but they were not close enough that day for a forecast.
Next race 7:30
David Evans is flying and three winners already this month sees Hollie Doyle ride his sole runner tonight
LIHOU
Each way
After this race it’s over to the lucky last thread for penultimate race and the last 🍀.
- You must be logged in to reply to this topic.