Home › Forums › Big Races – Discussion › River Don Novices Hurdle
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nwalton.
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- January 22, 2018 at 19:33 #1338647
Entries are tricky, going to tread lightly until i can shed some more light on whos a definite but will play antepost as possibly a good few opportunities to get ahead of this
Mr whipped has been all but confirned hes going straight to cheltenham (even if he where to run i dont think it would be here) there isnt a need and that takes the fav out straight away (although this will be factored into his 9/4 price)
Second fav mulcahys hill, although he has form on goodish ground, i almost feel that he will be kept to softer if possible, hes entered in at cheltenham for the ballymore trial (the distance he ran at LTO)and due to doncaster having a drier forecast than cheltenham factored in with the additional trip, if he runs IMO i think ittle be cheltenham, if he where to side step that and come here, id be interested
Station master 6/1has looked at home over this sort of trip and if the front 2 dont show hes going to be significantly shorter than he is atm and ill be taking him e/w just now as hes the only one im certain will run at this stage
Indian hawk 7/1 e/w Could be anything and i was impressed enough FTO, if he shows up he wont be this price and i feel its worthchancing, my only concern is callet mad will be suited by this race and hes probably a more suitable candidate back over 3m, LTO the trip was inadequate, will they send both? Not sure, indian hawk only has this entry whereas callet mad could goto cheltenham,ill stick with the two for now.
Station master e/w 6/1
Indian hawk 7/1 e/wEdit: any corrections needed judge let me know
January 23, 2018 at 23:25 #1338825Hopefully greatrex stick to what he said today in regards to mulcahys hill
Greatrex said: “I have put Mulcahys Hill in at Cheltenham and Doncaster because the weather forecast looks favourable and he is in great form at home. I am probably leaning towards Cheltenham out of the two, as it does look likely to be soft ground. He has improved since Newbury and I think that race has made a man of him.
January 24, 2018 at 00:22 #1338829Entries are tricky, going to tread lightly until i can shed some more light on who’s a definite but will play ante post as possibly a good few opportunities to get ahead of this.
Mr Whipped has been all but confirmed he’s going straight to Cheltenham (even if he were to run i don’t think it would be here) there isn’t a need and that takes the fav out straight away (although this will be factored into his 9/4 price.)
Second fav Mulcahys Hill, although he has form on goodish ground, I almost feel that he will be kept to softer if possible, he’s entered in at Cheltenham for the Ballymore trial (the distance he ran at LTO) and due to Doncaster having a drier forecast than Cheltenham factored in with the additional trip, if he runs IMO i think it’ll be Cheltenham, if he were to side step that and come here, I’d be interested.
Station Master 6/1 has looked at home over this sort of trip and if the front 2 don’t show hes going to be significantly shorter than he is atm and I’ll be taking him e/w just now as hes the only one I’m certain will run at this stage.
Indian Hawk 7/1 e/w could be anything and i was impressed enough FTO, if he shows up he won’t be this price and I feel it’s worth chancing, my only concern with Callet Mad is will he be suited by this race and he’s probably a more suitable candidate back over 3m, LTO the trip was inadequate, will they send both? Not sure, Indian Hawk only has this entry whereas Callet Mad could go to Cheltenham, I’ll stick with the two for now.
Station Master e/w 6/1
Indian Hawk 7/1 e/wI’ve edited them for you

(Update: had to go back in as realized that my first edit only hinted at the size of the problem
)January 24, 2018 at 09:17 #1338850I am reluctant to take you on ham, given I’m always chasing your coattails, however shannon bridge strikes me as an interesting contender and a value bet at 16-1, assuming he’s going to run of course. his form puts him bang there and he’s quite stoutly bred, so should relish the step up in trip.
in general quite a wide-open race. seem to recall barters hill running in this.
January 24, 2018 at 09:39 #1338853I am reluctant to take you on ham, given I’m always chasing your coattails, however shannon bridge strikes me as an interesting contender and a value bet at 16-1, assuming he’s going to run of course. his form puts him bang there and he’s quite stoutly bred, so should relish the step up in trip.
in general quite a wide-open race. seem to recall barters hill running in this.
I did have a look at shannon bridge judge, price was big just slightly worried if hes shown enough in his first two starts to beat a few potentially smart horses here, he only beat a 112 horse 1 1/2 lengths, he probably needs to improve another stone to win, not impossible with skelton!
Tbh im most worried about callet mad turning up here, like i said in my original post. if he turns up he absolutely will not be 12/1, he could potentially still go off fav, as i cannot see indian hawk running if callet mad does and even if he did jacob would likely take callet mad because of the form shown at this trip
January 24, 2018 at 09:55 #1338857, he probably needs to improve another stone to win, not impossible with skelton!
he’s got a very similar rating to your two picks, ham.
January 24, 2018 at 11:52 #1338881, he probably needs to improve another stone to win, not impossible with skelton!
he’s got a very similar rating to your two picks, ham.
Similar rating yes, but the way both station master and indian hawk won, giving weight to the horses in second place, gives the indication that there is more to come from them, shannon bridge however doesnt give me the same impression visually, thats not to say he cant and wont, back up in trip etc hes still unexposed,just not for me.
January 26, 2018 at 10:43 #1339102Unusual for me to have a 3rd but have added in a saver on callet mad 12/1 e/w
January 26, 2018 at 12:04 #1339115Unusual for me to have a 3rd but have added in a saver on callet mad 12/1 e/w
I’m a bit confused as to when this 12-1 was available ham?

and if so why didn’t you mention it earlier?
January 26, 2018 at 12:20 #1339120Read back judge, clearly sais if callet mad turns up he absolutely will not be 12/1, i can provide some proof if ittl satisfy you judge LOL
January 26, 2018 at 12:20 #1339121He actually went out to 16/1 but unfortunately i only got 12/1
January 26, 2018 at 12:21 #1339122Indian Hawk or Calett Mad for me, the latter is far too big at 12s returned to 3 miles
A good race in prospect
January 26, 2018 at 12:26 #1339124Read back judge, clearly sais if callet mad turns up he absolutely will not be 12/1, i can provide some proof if ittl satisfy you judge LOL
well why didn’t you say at the start you backed him?

he’s obviously about 5-1 now
are you aftertiming?
January 26, 2018 at 12:27 #1339125Indian Hawk or Calett Mad for me, the latter is far too big at 12s returned to 3 miles
what 12-1?
January 26, 2018 at 12:40 #1339131I added him in this morning before decs judge i mentioned the other day i would be worried if he turned up and luckily i got wind that std would be riding him, he was 12/1 this morning
January 26, 2018 at 13:00 #1339137Ham has been kind enough to message me his bet.
Sad that he was self-conscious enough to delete the stake
January 26, 2018 at 13:31 #1339144Always a negative in the comments judge!, my staking is no ones business and i was merely putting your mind at ease by giving you an insight to one of my bets
Im not a tipster so i dont post how many points or how much £ i have on, i balance it for my own methods to suit myself,
So as this thread has taken a turn ill summarise my bets
Indian hawk 7/1 e/w
Station master 6/1 e/w
Saver on callet mad at 12/1 e/wLike i said its very unusual for me to have 3 in a race but i seen an oppertunity to get ahead of the prices as the front two where always touted to not be running.
Where has the quote button went?? Lol i keep reporting posts because of it lol
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