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2YO – Steering

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  • #1445
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    High Strike rate (75-85% – hopefully).

    Short odds. 5%/10% rolling/ratchet bank should make a profit.

    300 Nottingham Siena Star f/c 4/6

    Rex

    #53484
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Won’t edit. Should be 3:00 Newbury.

    Rex

    #53485
    paul66
    Participant
    • Total Posts 641

    Hi Rex

    Good luck with this – have you done any pre posting stats, would be interested. I am working on an odds on laying system at the moment – difficult to do without watching the live market though – needs a bit more work

    #53487
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Paul – yes over the past 4 years these will win about 80% of the time. This is very high but the LSP is low (still positive) because the prices are normally very short. Profit is to be made though, if you have the balls you use a high percentage of a bank perhaps using a ratchet. Two losers on the bounce though hurt. Past success, however is no guarentee of future success ;)

    My ownly douby about today’s selection is the jockey – Frankie.

    Rex

    #53488
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    300 Nottingham Siena Star W 3/10

    SR = 100% 1 from 1<br>LSP = 0.30<br>£100 Bank (10% ratchet) = 103

    Good start but it didn’t win as easily as most people thought it should have.

    Rex

    #53490
    Artemis
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1736

    Hi Rex

    Good luck with 2yo system. Should do well in May through to July. A bit worrying that you doubt the ability of L Dettori – he’s one of the best. Don’t just take my word for it, ask anybody in racing.

    #53493
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Artemis, thanks for the best wishes for the system.

    I like Frankie. He has been a great jockey and still is a very good jockey. My doubts were twofold. First he is not in good form but primarily his record on two year old horses on the races I bet in is way below average. Anyway he won today.:)

    #53496
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Thought long and hard about Handsome Lady in the 2:15 Thirsk. However two dangers and not quite a steering job. Therefore, no system selection for Saturday 15 May.

    Rex

    #53500
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Glad I didn’t go with this one. It opened 15/8 and drifted very badly and came nowhere. The trainer tipped it up in the Weekender and McGrath had it as its charity bet but a very moody filly and glad i didn’t back it.

    #53502
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    2:30 Ripon Distinctly Game

    Everything looks right for this except the draw (middle not ideal in Ripon sprints)

    Only a bet if the horse is the favourite. Therefore if the horse wins or loses and it is not the favourite the result will not count for the system.

    At the moment no money is coming for the debutantes.

    Rex

    #53504
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    230 Ripon Distinctly Game L 2nd Evens f

    Well it was firm favourite and was backed from 11/8 to evens, and everything else drifted including the debutant victor Hearthstead Wings who looked pretty good. :(

    SR = 50% 1 from 2<br>LSP = -0.70 <br>£100 Bank (10% ratchet) = 93

    <br>Rex<br>

    #53505
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    210 Bath Tournedos

    This would have been a selection but it is now a NR.

    Rex

    #53506
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Selection for Tuesday 18th May

    455 Goodwood Asian Tiger f/c 2/1 f

    Rex<br>

    #53507
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    455 Goodwood Asian Tiger f/c 2/1 f

    L Evens F.  Beaten by a 25/1 debutant:(

    Rex

    No selections for Wednesday 19th May

    #53508
    RexWayne
    Member
    • Total Posts 405

    Selection for Thursday 20th May

    220 Newcastle Royal Island 4/7

    Rex<br>

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