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2022 Whitney Handicap

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  • #1610115
    IanDavies
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5644

    This Grade 1 Handicap has a 6lb weight range this year, is one of Saratoga’s biggest races of the year and has attracted Life Is Good.

    He didn’t seem to get the 1m2f trip at Meydan, but he stays 1m1f well enough and will surely be hard to beat.

    Sir Cherryade of Hampshire
    ("Chezza" to the proletariat)
    Twitter: https://mobile.twitter.com/Ian_Davies_
    https://www.facebook.com/ThePointtoPointNHandFlatracingpunter/

    #1610187
    Turkoman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 211

    Intriguing race this one, and difficult for me to handicap in the context of pace. So many possibilities here with presence of Hot Rod Charlie who will be wearing blinkers for this first time since last year. When he does, he guns for the lead and can carry his speed a long way as he demonstrated in last year’s Belmont Stakes over 12F…it took a good horse (Essential Quality) to beat him…

    LIG has exceptional speed (7F/8F) and seemingly 9F is his max limit. However, when they both met in the Dubai World Cup (10F) in March, HRC finished well ahead of LIG. Looking at the replay, LIG was done at about the 8F mark. If there’s a speed duel, then I suspect Olympiad and/or Happy Saver will be coming late…

    The third scenario is that LIG leaves on top, the others give him too much respect without any serious challenge and it’s adios amigos!

    If there’s significant amount of rain, then look for Americanrevolution who has the best form on wet surface…

    Good Luck!

    #1610191
    IanDavies
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5644

    I love many things about the structure of USA Racing and these Grade 1 Handicaps are very much a part of that.

    Any aghast Pattern race purists on this side of the Atlantic can relax safe in the knowledge it’s the tiniest of weight ranges.

    Life Is Good would surely be well odds-on at level weights and I’ve seen 11/10 – fascinating, intriguing, contest.

    Sir Cherryade of Hampshire
    ("Chezza" to the proletariat)
    Twitter: https://mobile.twitter.com/Ian_Davies_
    https://www.facebook.com/ThePointtoPointNHandFlatracingpunter/

    #1610320
    IanDavies
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5644

    What a tremendous racehorse Life Is Good is at distances up to today’s 1m1f.

    Sir Cherryade of Hampshire
    ("Chezza" to the proletariat)
    Twitter: https://mobile.twitter.com/Ian_Davies_
    https://www.facebook.com/ThePointtoPointNHandFlatracingpunter/

    #1610361
    Turkoman
    Participant
    • Total Posts 211

    Well, that was some performance no doubt. He looks “unbeatable” at 7F-9F range. However, I would love to see the match-up between him and Flightline over 8 or 9 furlongs. That would be some spectacle!…

    #1610364
    IanDavies
    Participant
    • Total Posts 5644

    Life Is Good had an OR of 124 going into this race.

    He’s given Happy Saver (OR 116) 6lb and a two-length beating, suggesting to me he’s run to 125.

    But if you believe third-placed Hot Rod Charlie (OR 122) had run to form you end up rating Life Is Good 126 and Happy Saver 117.

    Either way, Life Is Good has run right up to his best.

    Sir Cherryade of Hampshire
    ("Chezza" to the proletariat)
    Twitter: https://mobile.twitter.com/Ian_Davies_
    https://www.facebook.com/ThePointtoPointNHandFlatracingpunter/

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