The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

2000 Guineas 2019

Home Forums Big Races – Discussion 2000 Guineas 2019

Viewing 15 posts - 541 through 555 (of 599 total)
  • Author
  • #1430844
    • Total Posts 2615

    Well all three of mine across these 37 pages have made it there (remarkably). To save people from reading through again, I’ve got:
    – Advertise 12/1 E/W
    – Kick On 40/1 E/W
    – Royal Marine 6/1

    Good luck all

    • Total Posts 26551

    True, Shine So Bright does have middle distance stamina on the dam’s side and I expect him to be at least up there with the pace. However, is by Champion Sprinter Oasis Dream. There are two ways of front/prominent running; one is to get to the front and relax – this type likely to improve over further. The other is SSB’s let me at them attitude. Way he runs at both 6 and 7f makes me think he’s not typical of the dam’s side of the pedigree, taking more from his sire. That said, has a fair chance of staying a mile – as in being equally effective at 8f as 7f… And that chance would seemingly increase if the mile suited speed at the trip (eg slow early fractions for a sprint finish) rather than a stamina (truly run) mile. So his best interests will be served (ie if allowed) by setting a less than truly run pace.

    Emaraaty Ana is another possible leader, Mark but is another who’s not run beyond 6f (let alone 7f) who travels compfortably at that sprint distance. Would he settle in front at the slower pace of a mile? imo Connections will be taking a big risk of ruinning his chance altogether if going to the front. So personally can’t see him leading. Better to go against previous run style, try and settle in behind. Key Of Change looks more one for tracking the pace rather than setting it and may not be quick enough.

    value is everything
    • Total Posts 9453

    Good luck MoM : :good:

    Can’t believe Al Hilalee came back into play and I have 33/1 and not giving up on Set Piece to run a big race today.
    Never gone for such big prices but the absence of To Darn Hot leaves this wide open.
    On my way to HQ soon, hope we all find some winners :good:

    Things turn out best for those who make the best of how things turn out...
    • Total Posts 2884

    Have a great day and loads of winners Jac. Give Coronet a cheer for me, I have a soft spot for her and she’s the only one of my non Punchestown bets today.

    • Total Posts 4289

    Not a race I’ve had great success with in recent times. Some of the principles not having raced this season doesn’t help from my point of view. That said my selection is ADVERTISE, solid form through Too Darn Hot last season and if he had ‘A O’Brien’ after his name instead of ‘M Meade’ he would be vying for favouritism. Might just be the one getting in a bit under the radar here.

    • Total Posts 637

    Coolmore not running pacemakers is for me a sign that they don’t rate Magna Grecia enough. If they thought he would win, why would they not copy the tactics of the VF Trophy Stakes? Doesn’t make sense to me. (Remembering his 114 RPR rating in that is comfortably the worst winning rating in the last 10 runnings) It also maybe gives Ten Sovereigns hopes a positive boost as perhaps they think that he will settle with no problems under Ryan Moore, GT. Now there is much more chance of a muddling/tactical pace, which suits TS obviously, but definitely not MG.

    Magna Grecia stays 8F as proven in the VFT Stakes, but for me he isn’t good enough to win a normal 2000 guineas 8F. Normal being the word however, as this might not be a normal 2000 Guineas, hence my saver on him. But Coolmore have given me no confidence in him at all now.

    It might not be the sexiest 2000 Guineas, but it is such an intriguing one this year, with the chances in it and with how its going to be run, I can’t wait for it!

    The more I think about it, the more I think Al Hilalee has been brought in to help the pace. Racing Post this morning also suggests Dark Vision could be the sacrificial lamb, but as you say GT, if he doesn’t get away then they can forget that.

    So Al Hilalee, bred for the derby, being used a Derby trial, will I’m sure be leading or very prominent as Masar was last year and also to help the chances of Royal Marine I guess and try and run the race out of Ten Sovereigns.

    A fascinating tactical battle! I’m still very very hopeful on Madhmoon, very happy with the 20s, got bags on and hoping for a big run!

    Good luck everyone!

    • Total Posts 1477

    Magna Grecia ew 4 places, and Skardu 25s ew antepost for me.

    Good luck with your picks. :good:

    • Total Posts 2698

    I think there are doubts about the O’Brien pair being good enough but Magna Grecia has the form in the book to win a Guineas and a pacemaker is unnecessary here –
    large field, TS has won over 6 and MG is proven over the trip; they should be covered if either is good enough.

    • Total Posts 337

    I will add a couple more to my Ante-post on Advertise at 18s.

    Great Scot – 28s
    Momkin -50s

    Momkin could be the dark horse on the race, probably wins the craven with a clear run and this not being the strongest field we’ve seen in recent years could mean that an underdog wins it.

    I also want to have an each way on Emaaraty Ana at 66s (6 places on BET365).

    • Total Posts 1422

    Heavy rain at newmarket at the moment

    But blue skies on the way

    • Total Posts 468

    Magna Grecia looks a huge threat, as does Advertise and Madhmoon, but I will just stay loyal to Ten Sovereigns.

    • Total Posts 6671

    At the moment, and with Jash not taking his chance, I have all my eggs in the one
    basket with Kick On, who I put up earlier on the thread at 40/1. I don’t think there
    is a “monster” in the field this year, and it wouldn’t surprise me if one or two
    of the would be “also rans” get into the places with 5 places being on offer. I’ve
    taken a chance that King Of Change at 100/1 might just squeeze
    in. On what he’s achieved he shouldn’t be in a Guineas to be honest, but he did look
    to have improved a decent bit on his run this year at Nottingham and won it in a fast
    time. I’d settle for 5th, and I think at the odds it’s worth a touch E/W.

    • Total Posts 7825

    I’d just really like a non Coolmore horse to win it; I just get bored year in year out [sorry; got out of bed the wrong way today…].

    • Total Posts 1422

    Massive plunge on al Hilalee massive drift on royal marine

    • Total Posts 1477

    Get in 1st and 3rd! B-)

    Skardu for the notebook. Wrong side.

Viewing 15 posts - 541 through 555 (of 599 total)
  • You must be logged in to reply to this topic.