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Thanks for taking the time to review my thinking.
I’m pretty sure that I will be trying to back evens or better – The trick is trying to predict the SP. Take today for instance, the selection was quoted as 9/2 in the Sporting Life and 6/4 in the Racing Post, but finished up at 11/10. As I have explained before, most of my bets are placed at SP, before I go to work, so if I could predict the odds I think we could be in clover.
Anyway I played around with the figures and deducted all of Year 2001 bets, so taking the last 9 months on the trot. Guess What! The evens or better average points increase from 6.63 to 7.55 pts and the odds on average decrease from 1.03 to 0.20 pts – That’s Right! A measly 0.20 pts profit each month:(
If anyone out there has a foolproof method of predicting the SP…. Pleeaassee let me know.:)