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Reply To: 5/4 System

Home Forums Tipping and Research Systems 5/4 System Reply To: 5/4 System

#44672
JAR
Member
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Hi, do you think this staking plan will work with the above system?  I think it might.

Your aim will be for a target profit, T, of 5 points per race.  Use a bank of 400 points. If the bank = £200 then 1 point = 50 pence.  The first T+A of a game is 2 to 5 points ( about 1% of the bank).   You need a large bank as stakes increase to large values on a losing run. <br> T = Points target for race. <br>  Ac = accumulated win or loss.  <br> T+A = Target + Loss (if losing)<br>OR Target – Gain (if winning)  <br>  S = Stake<br>  R = Result  W = Points <br>To calculate the race stake divide T + half of A by SP forecast odds as odds to 1. <br>eg.

Race  Target (T+half Ac) odds   stake  result  win loss  Ac<br>1        5          5            6/4        3        L                -3     -3<br>2       10        12           6/4        8        L-              – 8    -11<br>3       15         21          6/4       14       L              -14    -25<br>4        20        33        13/8      20        L              -20    -45<br>5       25         70       13/8       43        L              -43    -88<br>6       30         74         3/1       25        L              -25  -113<br>7       35         92         3/1       31        L              -31  -144<br>8       40       112         3/1       37 W 10/3        +123   – 21<br>9       45        56         2/1       28          L            – 28   – 49<br>10     50        75          5/2      30          L             -30    -79<br>11     55        94          3/1      31          L            – 31 – 110<br>12     60      115          2/1      58     W 2/1      + 116    + 6

In race 12 since column Ac is a +ve value a profit is made.  At this point profit is withdrawn and a new game is started.  Almost all bets need to be at 6/4 or longer odds.  If stakes start to get too high, after 12 bets, start a new game at lower stakes and a new target of 5 points or 1% of the current bank.  Note the same sequence of wagers at a level stake of 27.33 points (so same money bet) would incur a loss of – 127 points.  The above staking method turned this into a win of + 6 points.  With careful selection to avoid long losing runs, profits are possible with the above staking method. Sometimes a game may be abandoned at 12 wagers to avoid using very high stakes.  This does not happen very often so profits from previous won games should cover this occasional losing run.<br>I know you should not chase losses. But if you cannot pick two winners at short odds from 12 selections you should learn to improve your selection method.<br>Has anyone any better staking plans? If so what are they and why are they better? Will they turn a small level stake loss into a profit like this plan does?<br>Cheers, John:biggrin: <br>______________________________________________<br>