The home of intelligent horse racing discussion
The home of intelligent horse racing discussion

Reply To: Betfair Million

Home Forums Horse Racing Betfair Million Reply To: Betfair Million

#44086
Stormont
Member
  • Total Posts 300

Quote: from Kifill on 11:13 pm on Feb. 10, 2007[br]

Quote: from Stormont on 7:25 pm on Feb. 10, 2007[br]Quicker ground would be a no no for me, quicker ground plus bigger field = Kauto Star making a few mistakes too many.

If he had made the mistakes he made in the KG and today at Cheltenham he would have been on the floor, those fences are very stiff, they won’t take much of that.

If he puts in a good round of jumping he should win, but i don’t think he will put in a good round especially with a quicker pace and more runners. Jumping has always seemed to be an issue for him and you can’t usually win a Gold Cup with an average jumper when the race is hotting up.<br>

It is, I think, a myth that the Gold Cup provides a particulary severe jumping test – the likes of Dawn Run, Imperial Call, Master Oats and Mr Mulligan went into their Gold Cups after demonstrating alarming jumping frailties, but managed to cope when it mattered.  Some with a similar history do not cope, Barton Bank for instance, and I suspect much depends on how the horse is settled and is ridden on the day, and whether the race unfolds in a suitable way.<br>

I think that post is a complete myth, any race run at cheltenham much depends on the jumping, with such difficult fences which are also very stiff.

If this horse makes mistakes around Newbury where the fences are generally easy to jump, he has very little chance of getting around Cheltenham, especially when we still aren’t 100% sure the horse will stay 3mile 2 around a stiff track.

It concerned me yesterday that he also didn’t quicken away from a thorough stayer like L’ami, which to me, he should have done, especially when in my eyes Kauto looked the fitter horse out of the two.