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Reply To: Betfair Million

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Well not to offer a free bet @33/1 on KS would likely to mean someone somewhere thinks it can be done this year.

On Timeform ratings they would suggest that on the current mark KS would have won the last 24 runnings of The King George.(It became a level weight event in 1982). On this mark they calculate then that KS was 18lb better than Monets Garden and Racing Demon.<br>And that judgement was found to be correct.

The Haydock race was a 6 runner event and KS had an S.P. of 11/10.

The King George was a 9 runner race with at least 2 horses needing to have started an hour earlier to win.<br>The S.P. that day was 8/13.

Facing a likely payout then of £1 million and with your past experience what would you have judged the premium to be?