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Reply To: A Serious System

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#44008
steve layden
Member
  • Total Posts 174

Hi Dave – The Daily Mirror SF horses are a rich selection source.
In the past I have backed the SF horses that were forecast favourites.
In the last two days (27 & 28 Dec) this would have selected 19 winners out of 36 horses (about 53%).
There would have been a 7 points profit (20%)

If you include only horses that were 1st or 2nd last time out, you then have 18 winners out of 29 (62%), with 12 points profit (44%).

The most interesting approach, however, is that if you confine yourself to handicap races the results are as follows:
11 selections… 5 winners at 4/1, 2/1,2/1,2/1,6/4 giving
a strike rate of 45% and 7.5 points profit (68%).

The rules for this approach would be:
Daily Mirror
SF
Forecast favourite
1st or 2nd last time out
Handicaps only

It might be interesting to use the two approaches of favs and non favs with suitable staking plans to make the very most of this very effective SF source.

Best wishes
Steve