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Reply To: Pointers-November

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#43339
dave jay
Member
  • Total Posts 3386

Analysis for September October Results.

Total Runners = 125<br>Non Runners = 6<br>Percentages based on 125 – 6 = 119

Abbreviations:<br>SR = Strike Rate<br>LSP = Level Stakes Profit<br>LPLR = Longest Predicted Losing Run<br>NS = Number of Selections from total system selections.

All Results<br>NS = 119<br>SR = 50%<br>LSP = -0.34%<br>LPLR = 10

Scenario One<br>SP is less than evens<br>NS = 50/119 = 42%<br>SR = 74%<br>LSP = +7.18%<br>LPLR = 5

Scenario Two<br>SP is evens or more<br>NS = 63/119 = 53%<br>SR = 31.75%<br>LSP = -6.30%<br>LPLR = 14

Scenario Three<br>SP is evens or more.<br>Omit any race with less than 5 runners.<br>NS = 52/119 = 43.7%<br>SR = 34.62%<br>LSP = +5.11%<br>LPLR = 13

Scenario Four<br>SP is evens or more.<br>Delete any race with less than 9 runners.<br>NS = 35/119 = 29.4%<br>SR = 31.43%<br>LSP = +12.3%<br>LPLR = 14

Scenario Five<br>SP is 6/4 or more.<br>Delete any race with less than 9 runners.<br>NS = 27/119 = 22.6%<br>SR = 29.63%<br>LSP = +21.59%<br>LPLR = 14

I have not done November or December yet. The likely price movements on this system cannot be calculated because I don’t have the F-SP figures.

I’ll amend this post when I have more data done, and add any other scenarios you can come up with, with the limited amount of data I have. It is worth noting that the picture will become much clearer when around 600 – 700 results are collected, this will mean that the NS(x) will be about 100 in each scenario.

Comments please!<br>