About a week ago I wrote:
Betfair have introduced Restore Britain into the betting, the party led by former Reform MP Rupert Lowe.
…it could mean Reform will lose votes to them, though I reckon it would be unlikely to be as large as the Labour vote loss to Green.
Which – if the betting is a reliable guide – would seem to be wholly incorrect, with Restore around 16/1 on Betfair and sub 10/1 on the books with a (ludicrous?) low of 9/2 with Hills.
Meanwhile the Greens are essentially choose any odds you like above 100/1.
So, in response Labour are now in to ~1/2 and Reform out to ~5/2.
As I believe the odds on Restore are way too short, 5/2 (3.5) Reform strikes me as long, and as head should always dominate heart when betting I’ll be drip-dropping orders on Betfair, initially at a probably too-greedy 4.0.