“But, what will the tactics be at Cheltenham?
Hold up for sure. Probably partly why Murphy was at pains to keep him amongst horses at Southwell too. As you say, if he tries to lead something will try to get upsides to goad him him and even if they don’t, a wide open space in front of him might encourage him to let fly at them and risk getting it wrong. I think he’ll be kept under a tight hold for the first mile and a bit, then creep a bit closer, and then hope to let rip after the last and pass what’s left like he came past those Flat maidens last night.