16.20 Windsor (Sat)
SKY BET MIDSUMMER STAKES (Listed Race) 1m 67y
Any other day I would not even entertained this race, but due to the fact that ‘CHIL THE KITE‘ is taking his chances here has interested me. The fact that he is a very hit and miss character intrigues me further, his last win came last August last year when beating a useful handicapper in Alfred Hutchinson at the Dante meeting.
The key factor for this horse is the ground, if it dries by now and Saturday I would be surprised they will not even enter him. It’s been a long time since he visited the glorious Berkshire course which saw him finish third to Planteur on soft ground, that was over 10f and for me on that occasion was very much out of his depth. He is capable of running well in this and would not put anyone off backing him now stable jockey on board.
Of his nearest adversaries this looks to come form both Andrew Balding’s ‘Merry Me‘ and William Knight’s ‘Clotilde‘. The former looked to be going well in the Princess Elizabeth Stakes, but faded tamely inside the final furlong to finish fifth. She ran well off this mark last season when runner up at Pontefract, but for me she lacks that punishing kick and could once more struggle to obtain any form off her current mark of 95 which looks more than she can handle.
William Knight’s filly won over course and distance in a 0-95 handicap two runs back when beating Gleaming Girl who has not really excelled since, it was probably mediocre group of entries and Clotilde would have to step up again after her defeat at Haydock nearly four weeks ago. another 4lb rise to contend with and even though she is going the right way she looks a little out of her depth here.
On the whole both Merry Me and Clotilde should make there presence felt, but I give the nod to Chil The Kite who should enjoy the conditions more and looks off what looks a win-able mark of 110.
CHIL THE KITE (1pt each way)
14.10 Newmarket (July) (Sat)
MARGARET GIFFEN MEMORIAL NOVICE STAKES 7F
I am puzzled to the fact that why Richard Hannon has declared ‘Devil’s Bridge‘ here after she was pulled out at Ascot on similar ground last week. Truly enough this is a much easier task on paper considering he ran a eye catching third to Frankuus who finished fifth in last weeks Chesham Stakes. He is by Casamento who achieved more success on ground around the good to soft conditions, if the penny has dropped then he deserves to be at the top end of the market.
A jockey i enjoy watching in the saddle of late is Martin Harley, who has been making trips to Sweden recently to contend the new course at Bo, away from that though he always rides to the best possible position he can achieve on whatever he sits on the back of and gets the mount in this on Charles Hills lovely looking bred ‘REDGRAVE‘.
He is out of A soft winning Sire Loup De Vega who had a winner at the Royal meeting in Defrocked and had a runner up in Belardo. Both enjoyed the soft ground that day and there should be no reason why Redgrave will not relish these soft conditions. It has been a slow season for Godolphin, but after a good Ascot the corner could be turning as the season progresses and they also have an interesting newcomer in ‘Hartswell’
He is the son of Nathaniel and time will tell for this new Sire is he can cut the mustard against the likes of Casamento and Frankels that are coming through this year. The Sire is still looking for his first winner and Hartswell is out of a juvenile winning dam by the name of Bahama Spirit who was finally rated in the mid 70s in her career. On debut we would have to look sharply on how he is fancied to run, John Gosden is 1-3 with his juveniles around the July course this season.
To tidy things up, with no market guide at present I am going to presume the selection will be in the top half of the betting, with Hartswell and Taamol fighting for favouritism, But overall I will play Redgrave safely at this time each way.
REDGRAVE : 1pt each way @ SP (But watch for BOG)
Be Lucky and Bet Responsibly
Darren P Goodbody