Fresh from giving three winners from 3 selections earlier in the week here are Darren Goodbody’s best bets for the final day of Royal Ascot 2016
Some potentially nice looking juveniles on show here, We almost had a Frankel winner yesterday when Queen Kindly ran a blinder to finish third in the Albany Stakes and she will surely come on and make a good transition.
The progeny of Frankel is on show once more at Ascot in Cunco and Frankuus and it is hard to really wonder who is the best of the pair. We have not seen Cunco since he won on debut at Newbury, his win was a shade cosily that day by three parts of a length over Isomer who is four times the market price.The fourth Barrington was impressive when franking the form by six lengths when beating Super Julius who has also franked the form at Chester. Cunco will be seen in better light on quicker ground as he grows, but he cannot be dismissed lightly.
Frankuus still look babyish when winning at Haydock and will take on once more Richard Hannon’s Devil Bridge who he beat by two lengths. He is probably not the best bred of the two, but both have gained reasonable draws for this, I still feel the filly progeny are more forward than the colts.
CHURCHILL is being backed like defeat is out of the question, you would probably not deprive Ryan Moore a winner after a few near misses yesterday.The progeny of Galileo finished third on debut at the Curragh and if you get a chance to look at the run again it was very encouraging that he finished off his race in good style and in time will get up to a mile sooner than later, this ground it’s a massive plus and I think he deserves to be the price he is.
Both Isomer and DEVILS BRIDGE have to come in to the equation on what they showed behind the Frankel pair. Out of the two Richard Hannon’s son of Casamento will come on for that third at Haydock as he was doing good late work in the closing stages, and if he got a run earlier would of gone a lot closer.
i am willing to put both highlighted horses forward here, Churchill does look a really nice work in progress and looks hard to beat on this ground, Devil’s Bridge should also be on the premises and looks over priced at 33/1.
CHURCHILL : 3pt Win @ 6/5 (BOG)
Devil’s Bridge : 1pt each way @ 33/1 (BOG)
Ballydoyle’s Exosphere went into my tracker when making a pleasing transition from three to four at Newmarket when beating Simple Verse by a comfortable four lengths in the Jockey Club Stakes. The way he exerted approaching the final furlong was very impressive indeed
His adversaries should be coming from Mount Logan and Almodover, Mount Logan has two and a quarter lengths to find with Exosphere this afternoon from their encounter at Sandown last August. He could not go the pace of the winner that day and should come on over this further trip.
ALMODOVER was another that caught my eye when winning on the all weather at Kempton by six lengths, and it is the fact that he looked comfortable going right handed, this extra furlong should not trouble the son of Sea The Stars. The question is will he handle the soft ground, well the way Nemoralia ran yesterday you would of thought that the ground was drying out, and if so he would have to come into the equation very seriously for me.
ALMODOVER : 1pt each way @ 11/1 (BOG)
A twenty nine entry cavalry charge comes in the Wokingham, and I cannot believe whoever does the write ups on Racing Post can Nap a horse in this race. I think we can safely say that it has favoured the draw from middle to high over the past four days in the sprints and I want to look a four for this race that should have a live chance.
Godolphin I feel have to be feared in these handicaps and have ‘Flash Fire’ here, the son of Shamardal won the Victoria Cup here last month over 7f. He had the likes of Buckstay, Mutawathea, Dinkum Diamond all behind him. This time around he has to concede another 2lb to Mutawathea for half a length, he will have to concede 3lb to Buckstay this time around, and has to give 11lb more to Dinkum Diamond. Flash Fire is now probably just within the handicappers grasp and I cannot see much more improvement, but should be in the top five.
Kevin Ryan’s ‘BRANDO’ has been a clear favourite for this for some time, he is definitely one that goes very well fresh and won off the back of a seven month layoff when winning at Newmarket over 5f on good to soft ground by three and a quarter lengths. You could give him excuses last time out when beaten by Duke of Firenze in the Jack Berry House Stakes at York when giving 7lb at the weights to the winner that day,
His win at the back end of the year at Haydock when beating Exchequer was franked instantly and with Jamie Spencer staying loyal to Buckstay this gives the opportunity for Tom Eaves who won this back in 2008 with Big Time and is one of my two to keep on the right side of in this. Jamie Spencer won this three years ago with York Glory and gets a solid ride here on ‘BUCKSTAY’ who has been running well all season in these handicaps.
He has not landed the best of draws in stall 1 and will have to work a lot harder to win this today. He should reverse his defeat to Flash Fire on seasons re-appearance. Jamie as a good record with the horse which reads 310213, so out of the top three only once which was as a three year old. There is a couple of runs we could probably over look his Balmoral Handicap run when labouring in the heavy ground over a mile here at Ascot two seasons ago, his win in the Challenge Cup when came over 7f on good ground and it is a concern that the 6f is going to be too sharp for him and the poor draw, but he is consistent which is what you need in these type of races.
Only Richard Hannon and Jack Berry have won this race more than once and Richard Hannon has an interesting one here on ‘Coulsty’ it is surprising that he has failed to hit the winning enclosure this year with his Ascot runners. He will be wearing blinkers for the first time and three runs here at Ascot in his career he has failed to shine, but this year there has been more purpose about him, his three runs have not been that bad and his second to Home of the Brave in the Leicestershire Stakes showed like maybe he was loving the game again. He probably wants the drop back in trip here to 6f after competing over a furlong further recently and I would not be surprised to see the blinkers sharpen him up.
BRANDO : 1pt each way @ 8/1 (BOG)
BUCKSTAY :1pt each way @ 16/1 (BOG)