2018 Kingwell Hurdle

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This topic contains 38 replies, has 15 voices, and was last updated by steeplechasing steeplechasing 5 months, 4 weeks ago.

Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 39 total)
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  • #1342104
    stevecaution
    stevecaution
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    • Total Posts 8189

    A max bet for me is loose change for anyone else I would think.

    I also have quite a high strike rate with good odds on a selection early and it gets pulled out, or runs and gets nowhere near it.

    Nelson, 10/3 into 5/6 in the Royal Lodge was sore at the time but it turned out he was up against the Racing Post Trophy narrow runner up in Roaring Lion.

    ChTibello is shown as jocked up for Saturday but not for Thursday, which seems odd if it’s the latter race he is less likely to go for.

    Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

    #1342192
    stevecaution
    stevecaution
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    • Total Posts 8189

    As I said last night, ChTibello is jocked up for Saturday and he’s not at Kelso tomorrow.

    Paddypower have gone 6/4 joint favourites now but fans can get 5/2 ChTibello elsewhere.

    You could have been sitting with 9/4 Call Me Lord AND 3/1 ChTibello with Paddy Power and that’s not what I would want to be seeing as a layer.

    Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

    #1342213

    ham
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    • Total Posts 1606

    I hope your wrong ls3 as i quite like using PP lol

    #1342481

    droffats
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    • Total Posts 459

    Is it me or have people seen something I haven’t with Call Me Lord. Got beat in a handicap first time up then granted one next time out in a handicap well but not a wow performance and is now favourite to be at Chitbello of Skelton’s that as ran 2 stormers coming fourth behind MTOY and co at Cheltenham then being chinned by The New One.
    Surely that form is far superior to Call Me Lord.
    I think Chitbello is the bet of the weekend or have I missed something?

    #1342482
    KevMcAlley
    KevMcAlley
    Participant
    • Total Posts 459

    I’m completely with you Droffats. Hopefully get the money back I lost on him when TNO outstayed him last time.

    #1342483

    Mike007
    Participant
    • Total Posts 405

    The betting suggests a tight finish.

    • This reply was modified 6 months ago by  Mike007.
    #1342499
    jackh1092
    jackh1092
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    • Total Posts 693

    I’ve already said it, but i would be in the Chitbello camp too….Call me Lord, for me has very average form. Chtibello more exposed, but got the form in the book.

    Twitter: Jackh1092
    Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!

    #1342535
    stevecaution
    stevecaution
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    • Total Posts 8189

    The racing manager for the owners of Call Me Lord has said the horse is running here to find out if he is a County Hurdle horse or a Champion Hurdle horse. That contrast’s with Nicky Henderson’s comment that Call Me Lord would only contest the Champion Hurdle if anything were amiss with Buveur D’air.

    Quite often I prefer the “Form in the book” profile but I felt on this occasion that it was worth chancing the younger horse at the odds available early (9/4)

    Handicap form is sometimes underrated, it was notable that The New One was only 4th in the Greatwood when carting 11-12, unable to concede the weight to those rated far below him. Good horses get extra weight and extra weight eventually stops them.

    Ch’Tibello only has two wins to his name. One was a handicap and the other a win from the generally disappointing Melodic Rendezvous on heavy ground, where favourite My Tent Or Yours seemed to flounder late in the mud, coming third in a four runner affair.

    Overall I don’t think Ch’Tibello is as much ahead as might seem and I’d rather go with the potential improver.

    I can see the argument for each horse but had to side with the younger contender.

    Thanks for the good crack. Time for me to move on. Be lucky.

    #1342570
    GoldenMiller34
    GoldenMiller34
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    • Total Posts 887

    A toss up in which I’d favour Call Me Lord but why bother when you could take a shot on Neetside @ 14/1 (4 places) in the 1.40, Sea Wall @ 9/1 (2.15) or even Gardiners Hill @ 6/1 (3.20)!

    #1342583
    steeplechasing
    steeplechasing
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    • Total Posts 5290

    Elgin the value for me. Looked to relish the stiff test of the Greatwood and the yard has won 3 of the last 9 runnings of this.

    Never argue with a fool. He will drag you down to his level and beat you with experience, then onlookers might not be able to tell the difference. https://lazybet.com/

    #1342648
    LostSoldier3
    LostSoldier3
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    • Total Posts 1741

    Call Me Lord’s connections are almost as full of contradictions as Ch’tibello’s! Nicky Henderson previously said Call Me Lord would never race left-handed again – now they’re talking about Cheltenham!

    #1342682
    Middle_Of_March
    Middle_Of_March
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    • Total Posts 1905

    I was on call me Lord last time and thought that was a cracking run. I would back him here but I’m over the cliff with Ch’tibello this season and he’s getting my money for the very last time here.

    Ch’tibello @ 13/8

    #1342721
    Nathan Hughes
    Nathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 19106

    The sun is out
    come on Flying Tiger

    Don't Eat The Pie and Don't Buy The S*n
    #1342722
    Nathan Hughes
    Nathan Hughes
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    • Total Posts 19106

    Cliffs of Doever shot off their with a turn of foot like his father

    Don't Eat The Pie and Don't Buy The S*n
    #1342723
    Middle_Of_March
    Middle_Of_March
    Participant
    • Total Posts 1905

    It didn’t matter in the end but I agree with Fitzgerald there. Absolutely farcical letting Cliffs of Dover have a 40 length lead at the start. If he was race fit, he may well have stole that.

    Ch’tibello second again. That’s it from me for him. I’m so far over the cliff it’s ridiculous with him.

    None of those will win a champion hurdle even if BD wasn’t there.

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