November 18, 2017 at 23:31 #1327531
- Total Posts 658
As I’ve said over on the RSA post, I think Monalee could end up going here and have backed him at 25/1 accordingly.
Another I like is Rathvinden for Willie Mullins. He hasn’t had a typical prep, but he hasn’t had a typical career either having been plagued by injuries and coming into his novice campaign as a 9 year old. He’s had a busy season already this fella, but Mullins was able to win the Albert Bartlett with Penhill last year who had a similarly busy start to the season. It would be a great training performance to get this guy to win a Grade 1 at the festival after all his problems.
There’s no denying his class though, he was rated 151 as a novice hurdler, finishing third to Faugheen in the Neptune. He’s racked up some decent chasing form this season, largely over the intermediate trip of 2m4f, beating the likes of Potter’s Point, Peregrine Run, Townshend and Don’t Touch It. I’ve taken the 33/1 on him for this and I’ve requested Betfair to add him to the exchange market.
Rathvinden 33/1November 18, 2017 at 23:35 #1327532
- Total Posts 1317
I like Rathvinden too and followed him a bit over the summer- agree he beat some smart horses and goes on most ground which is a plus.November 20, 2017 at 09:28 #1327765
Have added bamako moriviere for this at 25/1, he slammed jury duty and woodland opera who both came out and won yesterday and both where quite impressive
Jury duty 16/1 for this and bamako 25/1, worth adding him in id sayNovember 20, 2017 at 11:23 #1327772
- Total Posts 1317
I like Bamako Moriviere too but think he hammered WO so far as that horse doesn’t stay too far on soft; and Jury Duty by dint of experience. Don’t know how much improvement is left in BM but that is a nice price alright.December 10, 2017 at 11:08 #1331432
- Total Posts 445
What did everyone make of Invitation Only yesterday? Any Second Now is a decent marker and it puts him on a similar mark to Monalees first outing.
December 10, 2017 at 12:12 #1331440
- This reply was modified 10 months, 2 weeks ago by Vautour.
Dont think he would cope with monalee, although monalee seems to be more likely for the rsa according to the markets
And i think willoughby would be far too strong for IODecember 10, 2017 at 16:45 #1331514
- Total Posts 2001
Have added bamako moriviere for this at 25/1
Hadn’t seen this thread. He’s been 20/1 for months to win any race with hills. I really like him and his form, as you say, works out very well. He seems very overlooked by lots of people though for some reason.
He’s in my 10 To Follow and is one of my biggest Cheltenham antepost bets at that price. 20/1 to win any race is just huge.December 27, 2017 at 15:21 #1334348
- Total Posts 1120
Thinking of having a speculative go on Barters Hill for this…available at 40/1…
Think I read somewhere he’s due back out in January? Not seen anything on plans going forward but reckon this could be his ideal race?
Doesn’t look to be packed out with potential stars to me…
The year he went for the Albert Bartlett I remember Ben Pauling questioning his own decision and saying the Neptune was another race they were looking at…on reflection when he stepped up to three miles at Donny it was probably his least impressive victory making hard work of it…
Maybe it was his style of running that made everyone think he was a plodder and the further he went the better? He’s beat some quality horses at two to two and a half miles though…Altior, Buveur Dair, Politologue, North Hill Harvey to name a few!
It’s a big leap of faith with the injury and problems etc…but if BP can get him back to something like he was I fancy he could go well in this…if they went for it!December 27, 2017 at 20:14 #1334393
- Total Posts 5533
I think you’re right in looking for something left field Zamorston, looking at the market the race looks ripe for something to come out of the woodwork.
Al Boum Photo is interesting for me. He looked to have the race at his mercy when tipping up yesterday, and Tycoon Prince, who he beat by a comfortable and expanding seven lengths over 2m at Navan, easily won a decent beginners’ at Leopardstown today.
Al Boum Photo’s only real disappointment came on decent ground at Punchestown which is a worry but he wouldn’t be the first horse to disappoint at the festival there. At 25/1 I thought he was worth an interest prior to yesterday’s race, and with Death Duty disappointing and he himself running impressively until coming down, am surprised those odds are still available.December 27, 2017 at 21:50 #1334407
- Total Posts 915
Thehorsesmouth, i’d agree Al Boum Photo is a horse i really rate, was gutted to see him tip up yesterday.
On Barters Hill i thought they said they were going handicap hurdling??
Hindsight is 20/20 so make the most of it!January 8, 2018 at 16:00 #1336472
- Total Posts 445
Death Duty ruled outJanuary 8, 2018 at 18:42 #1336504
- Total Posts 658
Al Boum Photo is one I have an interest in too. I have him in a couple of Yankees at bigger prices, but I’m considering making him my main bet at 16/1. I don’t rate the Willoughby Court/Yanworth form very highly, but I expect WC to reverse the placings at Cheltenham regardless.
Must be hard for even his staunchest supporters to have much faith in Finians Oscar, I couldn’t touch him at the prices. Sutton Place is one I’ve been considering after his return to action but he is probably RSA bound.January 9, 2018 at 00:11 #1336563
- Total Posts 379
Finians Oscar is a going to be a big bet for me wherever he goes. JLT or RSA. He’s just too classy. First 2 chase starts we’re seriosuly good over the right distance. Happy to forgive him his 2 mile chase run. And then giving benetar 5 pounds and getting beat a photo when jumping badly that day was a good run. Will surely be even better than that. Really like himJanuary 9, 2018 at 00:56 #1336571
Really like finians but id be a touch concerned he couldnt give benatar 5lbs and beat him, ill be surprised if hes as good as first thought now, hes actually been dropped 2lbs after benetar beat him, which is deserved, but worrying that he may very well be a mid 150 horse at best now, he hasnt shown any progression in his last two starts, 2m5 should have been plenty enough LTO to beat that field.
Not to mention connections were bullish 2m would be fine and he really got done,then they suddenly say he needs 3m not 2m, then rush to run him over 2m5…theirs an essence of trying to grasp onto this superstar status he once had, not sure what he will do at 3m? Rsa is his best chance, ill be disappointed if willoughby court couldnt beat him round cheltenham in the JLT but theyv already stated rsa is FO likely target, will the extra distance in the rsa find 5-7lbs of improvement, maybe? Not so sure myself now.January 9, 2018 at 08:26 #1336580
- Total Posts 150
Have taken 10s EW on Petit Mouchior NRNB with bet365.
With Death Dutys recent set back, previous comments earlier in the season by connections and him potentially getting beat by Footpad in February. I could easily see PM stepping up in trip.
Have also backed PM at 7s EW 1/4 odds NRNB for the Arkle.
Good luck all
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