ginger's jumpers

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This topic contains 38 replies, has 5 voices, and was last updated by  MTOTO88 1 day, 11 hours ago.

Viewing 15 posts - 16 through 30 (of 39 total)
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  • #1379476

    MTOTO88
    Participant
    • Total Posts 202

    Hi GT, how would you bet on Keepers and Monbeg now with 2 the non runners

    #1379511
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 24494

    Betting-wise am disappointed Wholestone and Clyne are out, Mtoto; wanted to be against both as they don’t seem to like fast ground. But connections have done the right thing for their horses. Olde Guard hasn’t been at his best at 3m, but those efforts were on soft. This surface won’t test stamina so much and (unlike earlier in his career) 2m on good at Kempton last time tested speed too much. Probably needs further than 2 miles now, whether he needs 3m? I’d certainly have been against him on a more stamina sapping surface, they’ll need to go a strong pace to test Olde Guard. Having said that Monbeg Theatre is just the sort to do it; front runner who seems to go out strongly. Hopefully he and outsider High Secret won’t cut each others throats. Monbeg Theatre needs to improve but is on an upward curve. Unlike other market principles is proven in really good form last time out/this season – and that came at Wetherby in very similar ground. Stable in good form too. Keepers Hill comes back to hurdles after jumping fences poorly last season. Seemed to have more to offer as a staying hurdler when last seen in this sphere. With prices what they are now there’s not so much value. Both shortened a little even without the rule 4. Maybe best to back one and save on the other, trouble is having trouble splitting them… Ip dip dog sh…..

    If you haven’t backed anything yet – and if I have to say it would be:
    52 points @ 3/1 (B365) Monbeg Theatre (min 3/1)
    saver:
    18 points @ 3/1 (B365) Keepers Hill (min 3/1)

    value is everything
    #1379547
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 24494

    Charlie Hall Wetherby tomorrow:
    46 points @ 5/1 (B365) Virgilio (min 5/1)
    saver:
    34 points @ 11/4 (B365) Double Shuffle (min 11/4)

    Making Double Shuffle a main bet now with ground getting firmer (want to be against Definitely Red). Favourite is a likable sort, might improve and Nicholls is in cracking form, but is very short on what Black Corton has done. Double Shuffle is flattered by getting so close to Might Bite in the King George, but the rest of his form gives him a good chance anyway. More consistent right-handed but his best left-handed starts have been first time out (good record fresh) and from an in form trainer. Vigilio goes well on fast ground and was a promising novice before physical problems. Three starts since wind surgery has seen a resurgence. Fell in the Grand National before progressive form to win a couple of good handicaps. More improvement can be expected if all’s still well (bit wobbly after last start).

    Another (56 in all):
    22 points @ 2.75/1 (betfair) Double Shuffle (min 11/4)

    value is everything
    #1379563
    Venture to Cognac
    Venture to Cognac
    Moderator
    • Total Posts 13914

    Good luck with thread GT

    #1379580

    MTOTO88
    Participant
    • Total Posts 202

    Thanks for the update GT. Good luck for the season :good:

    #1379582

    MTOTO88
    Participant
    • Total Posts 202

    Have you had a chance to reassess Samco’s chance of winning the Champion Hurdle – currently a general 9/2 and 5/1 in a place?

    #1380064

    Istabraq
    Participant
    • Total Posts 26

    any tips for tomorrow

    #1380065

    Istabraq
    Participant
    • Total Posts 26

    any tips for tomorrow?

    #1380093
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 24494

    I’ve been hanging back Istabraq, because of the ground conditions and forecast. Wincanton currently on a sound surface but now with plenty of rain am taking a chance it’ll drastically change things.

    Elite Hurdle – Wincanton
    71 points @ 2.5/1 (betfair) If The Cap Fits (min 9/4)
    29 points @ 2.5/1 (betfair) We Have A Dream (min 9/4)

    value is everything
    #1380096
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 24494

    Badger Ales – Wincanton
    31 points @ 10/1 (Sky) Rameses De Teillee (min 17/2)

    value is everything
    #1380170
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 24494

    Badger Ales – Wincanton
    31 points @ 10/1 (Sky) Rameses De Teillee (min 17/2)

    55 points @ 5/1 (betfair) Present Man (min 9/2)

    value is everything
    #1380175
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 24494

    So far, they haven’t had as much rain as I thought. In the belief that if it rains a lot Henderson will take Verdana Blue out…

    Elite Hurdle – Wincanton
    71 points @ 2.5/1 (betfair) If The Cap Fits (min 9/4)
    29 points @ 2.5/1 (betfair) We Have A Dream (min 9/4)

    another part saver:
    27 points @ 11/4 (betfair) Verdana Blue (min 5/2)

    value is everything
    #1380190
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 24494

    Badger Ales – Wincanton
    31 points @ 10/1 (Sky) Rameses De Teillee (min 17/2)
    55 points @ 5/1 (betfair) Present Man (min 9/2)

    25 points @ 18.5/1 (betfair) Fingerontheswitch (min 15/1)

    value is everything
    #1380196
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 24494

    2:10 Aintree
    33 points @ 11/1 (betfair) Un Temps Pour Tout (min 9/1)

    value is everything
    #1380199
    Gingertipster
    Gingertipster
    Participant
    • Total Posts 24494

    2:10 Aintree
    33 points @ 11/1 (betfair) Un Temps Pour Tout (min 9/1)

    65 points @ 11/4 (B365) Unowhatimeanharry (min 5/2)

    value is everything
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