I have to agree this horse has a great chance today. my only reservation is the race might turn into a slug and suit the only hold up horse in the race.If the jockey lets the other go on and hold him off the pace it could a case of "how far"
"Cutting each other’s throats", as they say. I remember reading long ago that heavy going made it harder to make up ground, but maybe you’re right. It doesn’t matter unless there’s a duel for the lead.
Also, a horse’s aptitude for the ‘heavy’ would presumably be a factor.