October 10, 2018 at 07:05 #1376886
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I’ve had a chunk of the 11/4 about True Mason for this.
He travelled like a machine on his second start in the Mill Reef last time before failing to stay the trip. He was well clear of the third that day and could just be too classy for these in the long term. The drop back in trip should suit him here.
True Mason @ 11/4October 12, 2018 at 00:03 #1377022
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True Mason has beaten trees!!
Every time it his come up against a good horse and it has one outstanding bit of form behind Kessar on soft ground.
False fav in my opinion!!
SERGEI PROKOFIEV has an outstanding piece of form behind Calyx and Advertise at Royal Ascot which makes the 9/2 very very tempting!!October 12, 2018 at 10:16 #1377052
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Form is decent, like the run beating Winter Light well and back on GF ground should suit.
Frankie up is interesting and think she can go well at an each way price.October 12, 2018 at 12:14 #1377062
Had Segei Prokofiev been coming here direct from the Coventry am sure he’d be favourite. Last place in the Phoenix could be put down to the virus (and pulling) but only beat one home in the Middle Park too. I’ve had a saver on Sergei just in case he fulfils Coventry promise. That form was good for the time of year, but True Mason has come close to it since and is in good form. It’s true True Mason hasn’t beaten much, but that doesn’t account for the standard of race, who he’s been behind and how it was achieved. 4 3/4 lengths behind Pretty Polly in the Group 1 Morny… Before that a Length 3rd to Morny second Signora Cabello in the Group 2 Papin. And although beaten 2 3/4 lengths by Kessar in the Group 2 Mill Reef, had excuses. Way he travelled through the race – looking the sure-fire winner coming in to the sixth/final furlong – suggests he may well prove the best horse in that race. Probably didn’t stay in stamina sapping conditions. Coming back to 5f should suit and (like Sergei) is both a big colt who should improve as he fills a considerable frame and drops in grade here. Going is different today which could be the reason for the market drift. By soft ground specialist Mason but that doesn’t neccessarily mean TB needs soft. First time he came to people’s notice was an easy maiden victory on similar ground to today. imo Worth taking a chance at the price.
My other saver is Poetry, the one horse who I believe could improve. By Kingman out of Swiss Diva. Improved to win a French listed event last time. Pocket Dynamo‘s Norfolk second gives him a chance on the book, but imo lacks the size/scope for improvement of some of these.value is everythingOctober 12, 2018 at 14:14 #1377082
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wow, also nice to see a jockey make a brave decision and just not sit there hoping a gap will appear.October 12, 2018 at 14:23 #1377088
Although the worth of a last to first is exaggerated when prominent runners went far too fast.
Good to see Sergei back to his best.
I’ve backed Ten Sovereigns for the Commonwealth Cup, but this makes it more likely that one will keep to a mile.value is everythingOctober 12, 2018 at 14:25 #1377089
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Well Sergei wouldn’t stay a mile in a horse boxDon't Eat The Pie and Don't Buy The S*nOctober 12, 2018 at 14:39 #1377095
Exactly Nathan, Sergei deffo won’t stay a mile. Therefore Coolmore may think they’ve already got the winner of the Commonwealth Cup in Sergei. So if they can’t find a top notch miler (Anthony likely to need 10f+ next year) means a bigger possibility of keeping the doubtful stayer Ten Sovereigns at a mile.value is everythingOctober 12, 2018 at 14:48 #1377096
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GET IN !!
It is nice to get it right sometimes!!
True Mason ran as I expected it to.
The winner does look more Commonwealth Cup than Guineas as you have already said guys
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